The Alpha-Sutte model is an ongoing project run by Ansari Saleh Ahmar, a lecturer and researcher at Universitas Negeri Makassar in Indonesia, that attempts to make forecasts for time series like how Arima and Holt-Winters models do. Currently Ahmar and his team have conducted research and published papers comparing the efficacy of the Alpha-Sutte and other models,...
This script is for a triple moving average indicator where the user can select from different types of moving averages, price sources, lookback periods and resolutions.
- 3 Moving Averages with variable MA types, periods, price sources, resolutions and the ability to disable each individually
- Crossovers are plotted on the chart with detailed...
This script is for a single moving average with as many features as I can possibly fit into a single moving average. If you can think of more, or have questions regarding this script, please message me or contact me via social media.
- A single moving average (MA).
- Standard MA inputs.
- MA type.
- MA period.
- MA price.
If you rescale a sine wave to the price you will need to correlate it with it in order to show good results, today i present a different method that does not involve correlation to "morph" a sine wave to the price in order to provide forecast's and highlight market periodic patterns.
length control the period of the sine wave, ...
Beta Peek/Valey based forecast
The idea behind this indicator is to extrapolate a stationary time series and find the peeks of the extrapolated result. The highest and lowest of the extrapolated data represent really precise support and resistance if the data and its extrapolation are barelly equal with an error lower than the average.
The oscillator version of the stationary extrapolated levels indicator. The methodology behind the extrapolated levels where to minimize the risk of making a decision based only on a forecast, therefore the indicator plotted levels in order to determine possible reversal points, signals where generated when the detrended series crossed over/under...
Basic extrapolator for forecast a time-series, all forecasts are mades length periods ahead.
This is not a estimation of the exact price
This should only be used for forecasting direction, dont expect the price to be at the same value of its forecast.
Bias, Mean absolute...
This indicator shows the ROI % of Bitcoin from when it passed its ATH of the previous bull cycle. I found it interesting that each time it crossed its ATH it took around 260-280 days to peak for each one. This bull run seems to follow between both of the previous bull runs including this recent dip.
There are a couple issues I want to fix but can't figure out:
For completeness here is a naive method with seasonality. The idea behind naive method with seasonality is to take last value from same season and treat it as a forecast. Its counterpart, naive method without seasonality, involves taking last mean value, i.e forecast = sma(x, p) .
This is my original indicator that was inspired by "Mayer Multiple" and "Chande Forecast Oscillator" (CFO).
I decided to search truth of trend power with SMA and LinReg and found it in a somewhere of the middle. Also, I added a limit area, where you need to keep a more attention, because it can show a potential reversal.
You can change parametrs with a your own...
Experimental script to plot a forecast for the Donchian Channels indicator.
By using show_last = 2 , the forecast shows a solid line, this gets messed up on the bar when a new high or low is made.. Like the image below. I don't know how to fix that, please tell me if you do :)
This is a scaled version of a Forecast Oscillator, which may be used as a standalone indicator or as a filter. Scaling allows to reduce data to a standard interval, say, 0..1 or -1..1. Oftentimes, it also makes data more contrastive.
This indicator is designed to pick up changes in volatility before it happens. It also shows current volatility, as price action drops the blue lines contract. The script uses the blue lines to locate spikes in volatility.
Example of dump revealing itself with plenty of notice.