Keltner Center Of Gravity Channel ( KeltCOG )I have the ambition to create a ‘landscape’ which enables the user to see the ‘mood’ of the market about the price of an instrument, simply by looking where the candles go. Prices are a simple phenomenon , they go up or down or stay the same. This is represented quite well for the short term by a candle. I recommend to study candle patterns. Prices not only fluctuate but also trend up, down or go sideways. The user should analyze this by determining the COG (Center Of Gravity) and the ‘normal’ current range by using the historical data in a lookback period.
As a COG the center line of a Donchian Channel is often used. I.m.o. a COG should be a zone, in this channel I use the gray zone of my Donchian Fibonacci Channel, The ‘normal’ range is a multiple of Average True Range, as used in a Keltner Channel. Combining the two can give a cumbersome result, as one can see in my Keltner Fibonacci Channel. In this KeltCOG channel I solved this by not using all Fibonacci levels and by making the Keltner lines strictly parallel to the nearest COG line. To do this, I use the fact that the COG lines have horizontal stretches, there I make the Keltner lines horizontal too. Only where the COG lines change value, the Keltner lines are recalculated. This way the channel gets a very regular shape with three clear zones.
Interpretation of a chart by using the KeltCOG channel.
Overbought: If the candles go higher then the blue zone, the market is hyper enthusiast, creating an overbought situation. This is often followed by a reversion to the COG.
Uptrend: If the candles form in the blue zone, the market is enthusiast and willing to pay more.
Hopeful: If the candles form in or near the upper uncolored zone, the market is hopeful and is thinking about paying more. Sometimes prices go a little up.
Content: If the candles form in the gray zone, which represents COG, the market is happy with the current prices, so these move sideways
Disappointed: If the candles form in or near the lower uncolored zone, the market is disappointed and contemplates paying less, sometimes prices go a little down.
Downtrend: If the candles form in red zone, the market doesn’t like the instrument at all, rejects the current price and is only prepared to pay less.
Oversold: If the candles form below the red zone, the market overdoes its disgust, creating an oversold situation, often followed by a reversion to the COG.
Fibonnacci
VWAP + Fibo Dev Extensions StrategyBased on my VWAP + Fibo deviations indicator, I tested some strategies to see if the indicator can be profitable; and I got it !
This strategy uses:
H1 timeframe
Weekly VWAP
+1.618 / +2.618 / -1.618 / -2.618 Deviations Extensions to create 2 bands
The value of the deviation
First, the 2 bands are plotted : +1.618/+2.618 painted in red and -1.618/-2.618 painted in lime.
Then, we wait for the deviation value to reach at least 150 (see thumbnail) to avoid littles moves when the gaps between bands are too short.
Entry long position :
first candle must crossunder the -1.618 level and low have to stay over the -2.618
low of the second one must stay in the lime band
enter the third one if the deviation value is over limit (150)
Exit long position :
TP : when a high crossover VWAP
SL : when a low crossunder -2.618
Entry short position :
first candle must crossover the +1.618 level and high have to stay under the +2.618
high of the second one must stay in the red band
enter the third one if the deviation value is over limit (150)
Exit short position :
TP : when a low crossunder VWAP
SL : when a high crossover +2.618
Notes :
this strategy uses pyramiding (5), be careful and calculate your risk management
the comission value is set to 0.08% to include slippages when entering a trade because of market orders
This strategy is not an advice to invest, make your own decisions.
MTF VWAP + Fibo Incremental deviationsI made a Fibo variant of my first script "VWAPs + devs" :
This new indicator give you the possibility to plot multi timeframes VWAP (D, W, M, 3M and 12M ) and Fibo deviations for each one.
VWAP is a powerfull indicator which is used by big players to get informations if the price is "overbought" or "oversold". Deviations give the opportunity to have supports and resistances in those "over"-zones.
I searched for better results and found those defaults values :
Fib 1 level : 0.618
Fib 2 level : 0.786
Fib 3 level : 1.000
Fib 4 level : 1.618
Fib 5 level : 2.618
In the thumbnail, we can see that the 1.618 deviation level made a great support on the last uptrend for BTCUSDT .
You can change each values but low ones as 0.382 and 0.5 don't give really interesting supports/resistances.
I made this script as clear and simple as possible with only one menu in the parameters.
Some examples of what you can do :
BTCUSDT (Binance) H4 / D, W, M, 3M ,12M VWAP without devs
BTCUSDT (Binance) M5 / Daily VWAP + Fibo devs
Hope this will be useful for you !
A Fibonacci Moving Averages Ribbon Using One PlotThe following script aims to visually reproduce a Fibonacci moving averages ribbon by only using one plot function, the period of the moving average is determined by a number of the Fibonacci sequence. This trick is made possible by computing the value of a moving average at time t with a period determined by a periodic Fibonacci sequence and using plot.style_circles as plot style.
Settings
From Fibonacci Number: Determine the n th Fibonacci number to be used as the lowest moving average period
To Fibonacci Number: Determine the n th Fibonacci number to be used as the highest moving average period, capped at 19 to avoid errors. If you still have errors lower the value.
Src : input series of the moving average.
Details
The first thing we must do is to compute a periodic (repeating) linear sequence n from the number in From Fibonacci Number to the number in To Fibonacci Number , then we get the n th Fibonacci number from the previous sequence using Binet's formula.
To get the moving average we first compute the fib period momentum of the cumulative sum of Src , where fib is the current number of our periodic Fibonnacci sequence, we then divide the result by fib .
If we zoom in we can indeed see that there is only one point per bar.
However, zooming out and using a different color for each point allows us to get something visually similar to a ribbon. Adding more plots would create a visually more accurate result.
This trick is not the most useful in the world, but let's imagine you want to plot a massive ribbon consisting of 1000 moving averages with periods that can be determined by a specific sequence, using this trick would allow you to have the effect of 1000 plots while keeping your script relatively efficient, altho ribbons consisting of lots of moving averages are rarely easy to visualize.
