Sharktank - Pi Cycle PredictionThe Pi Cycle indicator has called tops in Bitcoin quite accurately. Assuming history repeats itself, knowledge about when it might happen again could benefit you.
The indicator is fairly simple:
- A daily moving average of 350 ("long_ma" in script)
- A daily moving average of 111 ("short_ma" in script)
The value of the long moving average is multiplied by two. This way the longer moving average appears above the shorter one.
When the shorter one (orange colored) crosses above the longer (green colored) one, it could mean the top is in.
These moving averages rise at a certain rate. Using these rates we could try to estimate a possible crossover moment. That's exactly what this indicator does! It gives the user a prediction of when a crossover might happen.
Special thanks to:
- Ninorigo, for making his indicator public. This one uses his as a starting point.
- The_Caretaker, for coming up with this idea about calling a top. Yet, his is more price-based, this one is more time-based.
บิทคอยน์ (สกุลเงินดิจิตอล)
Multi Moving Average Crossing (by Coinrule)Moving Averages are among the most common trading indicators. They are straightforward to interpret and effective to use.
One of the limitations of using moving averages is they can provide buy and sell signals with a relatively high lag , making it very difficult to spot the lows and tops of the trend.
Moving averages calculated with a low number of periods like the MA9 (the average of the previous nine price periods) react very fast to price moves providing prompt signals. On the other side, more signals may end up with more false-signals and more trades in a loss.
On the contrary, moving averages calculated with a higher number of periods like the MA100 (which considers the previous one hundred price periods) give more reliable signals, but with a delay.
A system catching the crossing of the MA50 over the MA100 is a good compromise for successful long-term strategies. It provides, on average, reliable buy signals.
The Multi Moving Average Crossing Strategy tries to optimize the exit without waiting for the same opposite crossing (MA50 below MA100). It uses the MA9 crossing below the MA50, instead, to spot a better time for selling.
The setup is as follows.
BUY when the Moving Average 50 crosses above the Moving Average 100
SELL when the Moving Average 9 crosses below the Moving Average 50
The higher is the time frame to calculate the Moving Averages, the better is the overall performance of the strategy. The 4-hour (or 6-hour) time frame seems to be the best, even if it results in fewer trades. If you want to trade more still with good results, the 1-hour time is a good compromise.
Advantages of the strategy
This strategy seeks to catch those that are more likely relevant uptrends and close the trade relatively quickly. More trades mean more opportunities. This is especially effective if you run the strategy on all the available coins on the market, as you could do with Coinrule.
Generally, a Multi Moving Averages approach beats the classic crossing strategy involving only two Moving Averages. We backtested a sample of twenty trading pairs to assess the benefits empirically.
The results show that the Multi Moving Average Strategy
outperforms 13 out of 20 times
has 95% higher average return
has 67% higher median return
The strategy assumes each order to trade 30% of the available capital and opens a trade at a time. A trading fee of 0.1% is taken into account.
MA Multiplier with FibonacciThis implementation of the "2-Year MA Multiplier" gives you some control over the indicator, you can change the multiplier from it's default of 5, you can change the lookback from it's default of 730 days and I've also added three fibonacci traces between the moving average and it's multiple that you can play with. Oh and you can also choose the data source ('close' or 'hl2' make most sense).
The formula for this indicator was created by Philip Swift.
Thanks to @Pladizow for pointing me to this indicator.
MA200W buy sell BTC ColoredA script to help you plan your entrances and exits with beautiful colors for BTC. It just helps to better highlight the gap between the start of the week and the end.
It only work on Weekly.
Info :
Blue ... you can wait, enjoy your life
Green is when you buy
Yellow when you enter bull market
Orange is when you begin to take care of next week
Red when you begin to sell low part
White, if while a week you see white you can sell bigs bags, if it end with White you can close majors positions
Warning White may not appear, if second week after first Red week is not White you can sell large position
Good luck and take a breath
Scalping using RSI 2 indicator with TSLThis strategy implements a simply scalping using the RSI (calculated on two periods), the slopes of two MAs ( EMA or SMA ) having different lengths (by default, I use 50 and 200).
A trailing stop loss (%) is used.
Entry conditions:
.) Fast MA > Slow MA and Price > Slow MA and RSI < Oversold Threshold ------> go Long
.) Fast MA < Slow MA and Price < Slow MA and RSI > Overbought Threshold ------> go Short
Exit conditions:
.) Long entry condition is true and (close >= TP or close <= TSL ) ----> close short position
.) Short entry condition is true and (close <= TP or close >= TSL ) ----> close long position
The strategy performed best on Bitcoin and the most liquid and capitalized Altcoins but works excellent on volatile assets, mainly if they often go trending.
Works best on 3h - 4h time frame.
There's also an optional Volatility filter, which opens the position only if the difference between the two slopes is more than a specific value, which can be set in the study inputs. The purpose is not opening positions if the price goes sideways and the noise is way > than the signal.
Note:
.) the RSI length is 2;
.) the oversold Threshold is 90%;
.) the overbought Threshold is 10%;
.) by default, the trailing stop loss per cent is 1%;
.) by default, the fast MA length is 50;
.) by default, the slow MA length is 200;
.) by default, the MA used is EMA.
Cheers.
RSI Classic Strategy (by Coinrule)One of the questions hobbyist traders more often ask is: what is the perfect trading indicator?
Every indicator is just a tool, so its efficiency is proportional to your ability to read its signals and translate them into an actionable trading strategy. The RSI is likely the most flexible and easy to use among the technical indicators.
This trading strategy tries to catch short-term swings on the coins of your choice with a simple yet profitable setup.
Buy when the RSI is lower than 30 (you can adjust it to 35 in times of steep uptrend).
Sell when the RSI is greater than 65 (the target may range between 60 and 75 depending on the volatility of the coin).
Note that the buy signal comes when the indicator crosses below 30 and not when it crosses above 30 as it happens on the built-in RSI strategy on Tradingview.
The present script overperforms the built-in strategy, even adding trading fees and using a lower amount of capital for each trade (30%). That means that the system can deliver higher net-profits with lower risk levels.
A typical example of market conditions where this strategy works perfectly is as follows.
The first initial breakout indicates that a new leg up in the trend may start. Bitcoin starts to trade within a range which you can identify when it reaches the point 3. That is the perfect time to start the rule because
- trading within a channel anticipates possible swings up and down
- the trend is on the upside, providing low downside risk in buying the dips.
This strategy works well with selected coins of your choice, and it's a great fit on leverage exchanges like Binance Futures.
If you prefer to run it across all available coins on the market, instead, you may choose an optimized version.
Arbitrage Sniper (POC)Good Morning Traders!
Today I want to share with you the proof-of-concept of how you would be able to do arbitrage with crypto pairs.
THE INDICATOR MUST BE PLACED ON THE TRADING PAIR OF THE TWO CURRENCIES (i.e. ETH/BTC, EOS/ETH etc.)
This arbitrage method is based on the transitional decorrelation between the crypto treding pair and the price ratio of the involved currencies, of course computing commissions as well.
Whenever the non-arbitrage condition is not respected, there is an arbitrage oportunity.
This indicator won't consider the chance of shorting, so if the arbitrage oportunity occurs the indicator will suggest you just the chance of buying the relative-undervalued currency (but inside the code you will know how to do the alternative method as well, by shorting the relative-overvalued currency)
Let's take the trading pair ETH/BTC (as in the graph) → if we assume commissions for the 0.075% of the order, the non-arbitrage condition will be presented like this
This arbitrage method will need three orders, so n=3
So let's assume that P(ETH)/(P(BTC)*P(ETH/BTC))>(1-0.075)^(-3) → it means that the price of Ethereum is currently overreated enough (relatively to the trading pair) for doing arbitrage.
We have two alternatives:
• Buy BTC, change it into ETH (by "buying" ETH in the trading pair ETH/BTC) and then sell ETH
• Sell ETH, buy BTC, change it into ETH (by "buying" ETH in the trading pair ETH/BTC)
On the other hand, if P(ETH)/(P(BTC)*P(ETH/BTC))<(1-0.075)^(-3) → it means that the price of Ethereum is currently underrared enough (relatively to the trading pair) for doing arbitrage.
We have two alternatives:
• Buy ETH, change it into BTC (by "selling" ETH in the trading pair ETH/BTC) and then sell BTC
• Sell BTC, buy ETH, change it into BTC (by "selling" ETH in the trading pair ETH/BTC)
I'm saying that is nothing more than a proof-of-concept since:
- Arbitrage Oportunities will emerge frequently just nearly zero commissions
- Data of prices are retrieved using security() function and there can be some delay (so the arbitrage oportunity will be already extinguished by the time the signal is retrieved)
- In order to have the freshest data, repiainting will occurr
Binance Z VolumeBTC perpetual volume on Binance is about 4x spot volume.
Comparing spot and perpetual volumes could provide useful insights into market sentiment.
Abnormal increases in the spot market could be associated with accumulation. Abnormal increases in the perpetual market, on the other hand, could predict volatility as well lows and highs.
This script represents a Z-score of the volume of perpetual and 4xspot on Binance.
High values above 0 mean that the volume is skewed towards perpetual contracts. Values below 0 mean that the volume is skewed towards spot contracts.
Feel free to suggest changes and improvements of this script.
Translated with www.DeepL.com (free version)
BIO
Fibonacci EMAs / Trend and Chopzone identifier Implementation from the highly recommended course "Pinescript Indicator Development" on Udemy
www.udemy.com
This indicator is mostly to show some techniques in Pinescript rather than be useful for trading, however it does nicely identify trend and chop zones (sideways) on the 1-hour or 4-hour chart.
What it does:
- Has three EMAs at varying length and plots these on the chart
- Computes when the EMAs are in bullish configuration (EMA short > Medium > long)
- Computes when EMAs are in bearish configuration (EMA short < Medium < long)
- When the EMAs are crossed there is a chop zone (sideways)
- Colours the background of the chart as Green (bullish), Red (bearish) or Orange (sideways chop zone)
- Also predicts the value of the three EMA's three points into the future using linear regression (showed as dots on the chart)
KAMA Strategy - Kaufman's Adaptive Moving AverageThis strategy combines Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average for entry with optional KAMA, PSAR, and Trailing ATR stops for exits.
Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average is, in my opinion, a gem among the plethora of indicators. It is underrated considering it offers a solution that intuitively makes a lot of sense. When I first read about it, it was a real 'aha!' moment. Look at the top, pink line. Notice how during trending times it follows the trend quickly and closely, but during choppy, non-trending periods, the KAMA stays absolutely flat? Interesting! To trade with it, we simply follow the direction the KAMA is pointing. Is it up? Go long. Is it down? Go short. Is it flat? Hold on.
How does it manage to quickly follow real trends like a fast EMA but ignore choppy conditions that would whipsaw a fast EMA back and forth? It analyses whether recent price moves are significant relative to recent noise and then adapts the length of the EMA window accordingly. If price movement is big compared to the recent noise, the EMA window gets smaller. If price movement is relatively small or average compared to the recent noise, the EMA window gets bigger. In practice it means:
The KAMA would be flat if a 20 point upwards move occurred during a period that has had, on average, regular 20 point moves BUT
the KAMA would point up if a 20 point move occurred during a period that has, on average, had moves of only around 5 points.
In other words, it's a slow EMA during choppy flat / quiet flat periods, and a fast EMA as soon as significant volatility occurs. Perfect!
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The Strategy
The strategy is more than just a KAMA indicator. It contains:
KAMA exit (optional)
ATR trailing stop loss exit (optional)
PSAR stop loss exit (optional)
KAMA filter for entry and exits
All features are adjustable in the strategy settings
The Technical Details:
Check out the strategy's 'Inputs' panel. The buy and sell signals are based on the 'KAMA 1' there.
KAMA 1: Length -- 14 is the default. This is the length of the window the KAMA looks back over. In this instance, it c
KAMA 1: Fast KAMA Length -- 2 is the default. This is the tightest the EMA length is allowed to get. It will tend towards this length when volatility is high.
KAMA 1: Slow KAMA Length -- 20 is the default. This is the biggest the EMA length is allowed to get. It will tend towards this length when volatility is low.
KAMA Filter
The strategy buys when the KAMA begins to point up and sells when the KAMA points down. Generally, the KAMA is very good at filtering out the noise itself - it will go flat during noisy/choppy periods. But to add another layer of safety, its author, Perry Kaufman, proposed a KAMA filter. It works by taking the standard deviation of returns over the length of the the 'KAMA 1: Length' I mentioned above and multiplying it by an 'Entry Filter' (1 by default) and 'Exit Filter' (0.5 by default). The entry condition to go long is that the KAMA is pointing up and and it moved up more than 1 x St. Dev. of Returns. The exit condition is when the KAMA is pointing down and it moved down by more than 0.5 x St. Dev. of Returns.
Thanks
Thanks to ChuckBanger, cheatcountry, millerrh, and racer8 for parts of the code. I was able to build upon their good work.
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I hope this strategy is helpful to you.
Do you have any thoughts, ideas, or questions? Let me know in the comments or send me a message! I'd be glad to help you out.
If you need an indicator or strategy to be built or customised for you, let me know! I'll be glad to help and it'll probably be cheaper than you think!
Bitcoin Bulls and Bears by @dbtrBitcoin 🔥 Bulls & Bears 🔥
v1.0
This free-of-charge BTC market analysis indicator helps you better understand what's going with Bitcoin from a high-level perspective. At a glance, it will give you an immediate understanding of Bitcoin’s historic price channel dating back to 2011, past and current market cycles, as well as current key support levels.
Usage
Use this indicator with any BTCUSD pairs , ideally with a long price history (such as BNC:BLX )
We recommend to use this indicator in log mode, combined with Weekly or Monthly timeframe.
Features
🕵🏻♂️ Historic price channel curve since 2011
🚨 Bull & bear market cycles (dynamic)
🔥 All-time highs (dynamic)
🌟 Weekly support (dynamic, based on 20 SMA )
💪 Long-term support (channel bottom)
🔝 Potential future price targets (dynamic)
❎ Overbought RSI coloring
📏 Log/non-log support
🌚 Dark mode support
Remarks
With exception of the price channel curve, anything in this indicator is calculated dynamically , including bull/bear market cycles (based on a tweaked 20SMA), ATHs, and so on. As a result, historic market cycles may not be 100% accurately reflected and may also differ slightly in between various time-frames (closest result: Monthly). The indicator may even consider periods of heavy ups/downs as their own market cycles, even though they weren’t. Due to its dynamic nature, this indicator can however adapt to the future and helps you quickly identify potential changes in market structure, even if the indicator is no longer updated.
On top of that bullmarket cycles (colored in green) feature an ingrained RSI: the darker the green color, the more the RSI is overbought and close to a correction (darkest color in the chart = 90 Weekly RSI). In comparison with past bull cycles, it helps you easily spot potential reversal zones.
Thanks
Thanks to @quantadelic and @mabonyi which both have worked on the BTC "growth zones" indicator including the price channel, of which I have used parts of the code as well as the actual price channel data.
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Follow me here on TradingView to be notified as soon as new free and premium indicators and trading strategies are published. Inquire me for any other requests.
Enjoy & happy trading!
Ark Crypto HeatlineThis is the 'on chart' indicator. See also "Ark Crypto Heatband" indicator for a side-by-side BTC view, without a re-scaled line.
The crypto landscape is largely dominated by BTC and characterised by cyclical stages with varying degrees of mean reversion.
To understand what stage of the cycle we are currently experiencing, it is useful to examine to what degree the current price has extended beyond the long term average that BTC has established. This is true even when analysing other crypto assets as BTC is the dominant force in the crypto asset class.
This indicator uses the 1400 period daily SMA , which is broadly the 200 period weekly SMA. This can be configured, but historically has represented a baseline to which BTC commonly returns.
The graph plots current price in terms of multiples of this long term average. Traditionally, at multiples beyond 10, BTC is considered overextended with a higher likelihood of trending towards the mean thereafter. Colors indicate the extent of price extension.
Where the indicator is applied to non BTCUSD pairs, a smoothed conversion is applied, seeking to superimpose the BTC long period SMA onto the current chart.
The indicator specifically references BTC by default on all charts, as it is designed to use BTC as general purpose indication of where crypto as a whole currently sits. Accordingly the indicator is only to be used on crypto charts.
For best results on BTC, using BNC:BLX will give the longest historical view.
Ark Crypto HeatbandThe crypto landscape is largely dominated by BTC and characterised by cyclical stages with varying degrees of mean reversion.
To understand what stage of the cycle we are currently experiencing, it is useful to examine to what degree the current BTC price has extended beyond a long term average. This is true even when analysing other crypto assets and helpful to view side by side.
This indicator uses the 1400 period daily SMA, which is broadly the 200 period weekly SMA. This can be configured, but historically has represented a baseline to which BTC commonly returns.
The graph plots current price in terms of multiples of this long term average. Traditionally, at multiples beyond 10, BTC is considered overextended with a higher likelihood of trending towards the mean thereafter. Colors indicate the extend of price extension.
The indicator specifically references BTC by default on all charts as it is designed to use BTC as general purpose indication of where crypto as a whole currently sits. Accordingly the indicator is only to be used on crypto charts.
rocketLaunchI wanted to see if I could programmatically identify the conditions I saw just before Bitcoin broke its all-time high end of 2020. The signal picks up several rocket launch moments prior to launching which is quite cool. It also picks up a few false starts, however. In any case, I would have loved to be stopped out on those false starts but been there for all the starts this thing picks up.
It could probably use more confirmatory elements such as trailing conditions and volume perhaps?
BINANCE:BTCUSDTPERP
BITCOIN CME FUTURES GAPSDisplays information about Bitcoin CME Futures Gaps over BTCUSD (or XBTUSD) charts.
You can configure a threshold percentage to only display gaps whose size is greater than that percentage. The gap precentage is calculated based on the current close price.
Gaps up are displayed in Orange, gaps down in Green
Bitcoin Comparison to GBTC!This script tells you if GBTC is overvalued or undervalued compared to Bitcoin.
200 Week Moving Average HeatmapСolors part of the SMA depending on the change in % (delta %) to the previous value. From blue(none to low increase) through green(moderate increase) to red(high increase).
gold price levels denominated in usd/gramsPlots the gold price (USD) for the quantities (grams) identified as support or resistance in the indicator settings. Default values are:
75 gold grams
300 gold grams
500 gold grams
1000 gold grams
5000 gold grams
More context: The purchasing power of Bitcoin
