Chart Altcoins versus BTC, ETH, or USD????

Looking at XLMUSD, the chart looks good like a cup and handle with growing volume so it looks like it wants to go up/Bullish
Looking at XLMBTC, the chart looks more bearish and others have shown charts:

I'm holding (not HODL) for now based on XLMUSD.

What do you think is most important to compare against: BTC, USD or ETH?