The pair reentered the mentioned trading box of my former Analysis (
) here i wrote: The pair is trading sideways since march 2015 . The tradingbox covers from 8,05 (Buying Zone) - 8,77 (Selling Zone) This week we see a Breakout on the downside. The Pair left the tradingbox, the former Supportzone turned into a possible resistancelevel. IMO the Zone between 7,85 - 8,2 seems to be neutral - here i don`t think a trade makes sense. As Long as the Pair is trading below the mentioned box, the Szenario is clear bearish!
3 trading- ideas: LONG: If usd/sek0.01% can reenter the tradingzone, the possible upmove can rech to the tradingboxs upper edge at 8,77. For this Szenario 2 trades are thinkable: -Cyclical Long-Setup (reduced risk): stoppbuy at 8,17, SL 7,88 TP 8,77 -Anticyclical Long Setup (risky): Entry at the actual Level, same SL, same TP
Short: Stoppsell below the last LOW at 7,85 (and below the 38,2 fibo), SL 8,17/ TP 7,2
Both long setups were good ideas. -If you have opened the cyclical long, it is obvious to install a SL to secure the trade. IIMO i would prefer a stopp near below the last low below your entry-points, for example at 8,11. - If you have opnened the anticyclical Position it is obvious th install the sl close below the trading box, for example at 8,03