After breaking through the illustrated neckline, a double bottom at 99.6 appeared. The countermove is still in tact and we are now trading near the next action point at 100.8 - the neckline and former bo-level. Here a desicion has to be made. From a cyclical view, i would exspect a further downwave as long as we trade below 100.8. Trading below 99.5 will activate the next short signal TP 2 is still 99, than 96.(For more details have a look at my main view) Anticyclical view. Trading above 100.8 could reach till 102.5
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Last view & comments: USDYPY FORMIG AN BEARISH H&S?
USDJPY reached the 38.2 fibo retracement of the last downswing (105.6-100.6). Here the rebound stopped. The ultrashorttermtrend turned bearish again. At the moment, we are trading near a possible action point (blue). this level @ 100.6-100.8 is the level to watch! Here a desicion has to be made imo.
Trading below that level should initiate a further downwave down to the longtermsupport 100 - Here i exspect a temporarily rebound. The RSI signs a weak bullish signal, so that we can exspect, that a right shoulder can be formed before the "real" dip will come. Trading above the "shoulder"-level is bullish . The market could decide to aim the maximal correction level fibo 61,8 @ 103.71. The neckline @ 100.85 is also a part of the "action point".