UJ for a long term run imagination

UJ looks like start a retracement now, for a short term, this retracement maybe rejected by the bearish channel in this figure (103.6-104 zone), then turn back to complete the BC leg at 99.8 around. then CD leg may start then to 118.8.....it might to early to figure this bat, Just a long term predict......and now we should focus on if price will retrace to the upper band of the down channel now, then how it perform there...