USDCAD rises for the fourth consecutive day while poking the 200-SMA as the pair traders await Canadian inflation data, namely the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Bank of Canada (BoC) CPI. It’s worth noting that the firmer RSI (14) line and the bullish MACD signals favor the latest bull run. Adding strength to the upside bias is the daily closing beyond the previous resistance line stretched from early November. However, the RSI line is approaching the overbought territory and hence suggests a limited upside room for the quote. As a result, the 200-SMA level of 1.3480 appears a tough nut to crack for the Loonie pair buyers, a break of which will open doors for the quote’s quick run-up toward the previous monthly high of around 1.3620.

Meanwhile, the USDCAD pair’s pullback remains elusive unless the quote stays beyond the resistance-turned-support line of around 1.3400. Should the Loonie pair remain bearish past 1.3400 and gain support from upbeat Canada inflation data, its further declines toward the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the July-November upside, near 1.3260, followed by the previous monthly low of around 1.3180, can’t be ruled out. It’s worth noting, however, that the year 2023 low marked in July near 1.3090 and the 1.3000 psychological magnet appears as the last defense of the pair buyers.

Overall, the USDCAD pair secures its place on the bull’s radar ahead of the key Canada data.
BOCChart PatternsCPICurrenciesForexFundamental AnalysisTechnical IndicatorsinflationloonieTechnical AnalysistradingUSDCAD

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