S&P 500: Lots of Support and Not Much Resistance?

The S&P 500 continues to shuffle sideways as a new quarter begins. However, there could be indications of positive forces gaining dominance.

The first pattern on today’s chart is the falling trendline along the highs of August and February. Will traders feel more bullish if prices break this resistance?

Second, while there may not be much resistance above, there could be considerable support below. Last week, for example, prices held the March 6 high around 4079. Below that is the March 22 high of 4039.5.

Another level is the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) around 4029.

Speaking of the 50-day SMA, notice how it’s above the 100-day SMA in gray. The 100-day SMA, in turn, is above the 200-day SMA in green. That sequence of faster SMAs above the slower may suggest the longer-term trend has grown more positive.

Next, the weekly chart below shows a long-term price channel (based on the 2011 low and the 2014 high). SPX tested and held this channel in October and has remained above it since.

You also have the falling trendline from last year’s bear market. Notice how prices broke above it in January and have remained there since. This may suggest 2022’s decline was nothing more than a normal fluctuation with a longer-term uptrend that’s still in effect.

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Moving AveragesSupport and ResistanceTrend Lines

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