SPX January 24th 3400 Prediction

In the chart above I have provided a quick prediction if averages and history is anything to go by. Taking away from the last three falls seen since the start of this bear market. All averages were estimated by using a simple mean.
1. Time of Drop Data: 51, 52, 59 = Mean of 54 Days
2. Percent of Drop Data: -14.77%, -17.87%, -19.30% = Mean of -17.31%