More Rough Ride Ahead?
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This retracement has look and feel of a B wave, choppy and hesitant. Got a H&S in the 15 minute chart on 11/11.
Expect another leg lower soon IMO. Should push down to test support at the old ATH IMO. RSI went oversold, bounced, fades.
Likely to get a big bounce (arrow) after the C leg, retest ATH in December. 19 Nov OpeX likely to be pretty choppy IMO.
Sold off -300 pips and has bounced back a bit more than 200 of that in the AM lift. Now in descending stair-step pattern.
Measured move would end around 15815, give or take a bit. Selling could come at anytime, so unpredictable.
Wouldn't trade dailies on this as it might take a week to come off, could be tomorrow, who knows?!
I see lower lows and lower highs in daily charts on SPX, DJI. NQ looks like a sawblade fgs.
Opening position in ten QQQ 24 Nov 392Pp spread short the 15 Nov 382, net debit $4.12.
DYODD, GLTA!
Expect another leg lower soon IMO. Should push down to test support at the old ATH IMO. RSI went oversold, bounced, fades.
Likely to get a big bounce (arrow) after the C leg, retest ATH in December. 19 Nov OpeX likely to be pretty choppy IMO.
Sold off -300 pips and has bounced back a bit more than 200 of that in the AM lift. Now in descending stair-step pattern.
Measured move would end around 15815, give or take a bit. Selling could come at anytime, so unpredictable.
Wouldn't trade dailies on this as it might take a week to come off, could be tomorrow, who knows?!
I see lower lows and lower highs in daily charts on SPX, DJI. NQ looks like a sawblade fgs.
Opening position in ten QQQ 24 Nov 392Pp spread short the 15 Nov 382, net debit $4.12.
DYODD, GLTA!
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Closed on early weakness look for re-entryการซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Back in Nov 391P on the lift, 20 $5 spreadsบันทึกช่วยจำ
Added ten spreads short Monday 386 dailiesบันทึกช่วยจำ
Rolled the monday short legs down to weds 381s, added ten spreads, now in 40 $10 bear spreadsบันทึกช่วยจำ
Added ten more for 50 spreads, enough damage done already fgsการซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Covered the short legs for .50c a nickel gained, added ten 391 nov puts, holding 60 outrightปิดการเทรด: ถึงเป้าหมายการตัดขาดทุน
Forced outบันทึกช่วยจำ
Goldarn Meltup again FFS, greed is good againบันทึกช่วยจำ
Starts to look like this idea might pan out after all. Clipped a few pips on the AM sell Monday.They might buy this little dip; or the real selling could start soon. Will soon see, watching it.
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a double top. shorted in 26 nov qqq 398p, 15 bear spreadsบันทึกช่วยจำ
Closed on early weakness, watch, waitการซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Well this GDMD idea turned out to be spot on after all, just we never got a secondary selloff, was more like a flat and then bully double top. So unpredictable! NOT going full bore short here, copy this post in case you missed it:
Follow-up, still do not feel that going full bore short is a good idea... another damned parabolic can come in here anytime, NQ has not fully double topped, need to see QQQ go over $400, ES might get push to another ATH.
IF you follow Peter Eliades, very useful insights, he projected top on 5 nov and now claims this will prove to be the ultimate ATH. So far, it holds, check out his app:
stockmarketcycles.com/servic...
He called the bottom in 1974 and been rolling ever since. He called the top on 3 Sep a month before, and says we have now reached the Top of the Century.
We will see...
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Oops, the public link, free charts and analysis: youtube.com/c/stockmarketcyclesการซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Took a small bear spread in the 29 Nov 398p short Fridays' 393ps, ten spreads net debit 3.70บันทึกช่วยจำ
Rolled short legs AH to Monday 390p, for Evenปิดการเทรด ด้วยตนเอง
Added on the lift and closed on the drop. Decent day!การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Flipped calls on the bounce. Frustrating trades to say the least, opens so damned bullish and press to ATH then Wham! I did okay but you get real tired of watching puts melt ffs... IMO some fierce selling coming soon, triple witching Friday might not be so bully?!บันทึกช่วยจำ
Just watching back in cash. so damned fluctuant, sold $2, bounced $1, now will they bull it back to ATH?Or we gonna see a flashcrash?! Pure guesswork, but starts to look pretty dicey up here...
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Shorting the rally:QQQ Diagonal
+10 Nov21/Nov-29-21 395/400 Put Diagonal
-10 Nov21 $395 Puts
+10 Nov-29-21 $400 Puts
@3.80 net debit
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Added 5 spreads @ 3.72การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Added ten more on the lift back at HOTD, nuts!บันทึกช่วยจำ
Opened 5 spreads in 401p, rolled teh nov 395s to Monday 394pปิดการเทรด ด้วยตนเอง
Closed all for a push. Gone from flashcrash to gdmd bullish ffs. Whipsawing at top. You know this is the top but how it hangs here is amazing, just kills shorts.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Probably a short entry EOD. Just gonna get whipped again IMO, short-covering soonการซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Flipped some calls at 2pm, margin call liquidationsบันทึกช่วยจำ
Opened bear put spread in 3 Dec 401p short friday's 396p, ten spreadsบันทึกช่วยจำ
Entered 401 strikes just OTM at 401.05; net debit 4.43;got .81c for the short legs, lotta money with a day left
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Added 5 spreads. More EOD if it looks good IMOการซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Rolled 15 short 396p to 11/24 392 for Evenการซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Added 5 spreads, rolled the 392p to 26 nov 390p for 0.01cr (even)บันทึกช่วยจำ
Added 5 more at HOTD revisited EOD. In 25 now.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Picked up ten 402p on the EOD rushการซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Added ten 402p and short the friday 397p in a $5 spread, 20, see if they expireบันทึกช่วยจำ
Rolled the 397s out, too close IMO, got .17c credit for the 24 Nov 394pปิดการเทรด ด้วยตนเอง
Rolled up and then closed out for a wee drawdown. The short legs kept my end up. Spent Friday flipping strikes on puts and calls.The euphoric bullishness of NQ in face of weaker RTY and DJI is characteristic of a blowoff bubble about to burst IMO
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BTW, I cannot believe evry time I look at QQQ it says $405 OMG, how?! LOLบันทึกช่วยจำ
Re-visiting this post, click the progress arrow button, amazingly in spite of all the bearishness, this damned index is still really high! There is a LOT OF ROOM to downside for a real crashover IMO; BUT should consider past week may be just a grindy sideways correction leading to a move higher! Trading this index hurts, lol. Evrytime you think it's going long, pivot reverse kills ur longs, then you say, okay well, go short! And lose both ways fgs. GLTA!
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