Good Morning, friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for January 21st, Tuesday:
Market Overview:
The global market is maintaining a bullish sentiment (based on the Dow Jones), while our local market shows a moderately bullish sentiment. Today, the market is likely to open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as the Gift Nifty indicates a +60 point positive opening.
In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty had a solid pullback. According to the structure, it seems like a "flag pattern." If the market breaks the immediate resistance with a solid candle today, we can expect a further rally continuation. However, if we analyze the wave structure, it could represent the "C" leg, and also its a final leg of the pullback. So, In this scenario, if the market rejects around the immediate resistance, we can initially expect a 23% to 38% correction. A trend reversal (from bullish to bearish) will be considered only if the 38% Fibonacci level is broken. This is the basic structure. Let's look at the chart for more clarity.
Both Nifty and Bank Nifty exhibit similar structural sentiments.
Current View:
The current view, based on Elliott Wave analysis, suggests that if the gap-up doesn't sustain or if the market faces rejection around the immediate resistance, we can expect a minimum correction of 23% to 38% in the minor swing. This is a major support level, so until the 38% mark is broken, the trend remains bullish. Conversely, if it breaks the 38%, we can consider that a trend reversal.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the gap-up sustains and consolidates or breaks the immediate resistance level, then the rally will likely continue. In this case, we can consider that a flag pattern or the third wave of the new impulse.