Nasdaq Retraces Half the Drop

The Nasdaq-100 has rebounded following a sharp drop. It’s a good time to consider where things stand with the tech-heavy index.

First, Wednesday’s close represented almost exactly a 50 percent retracement of the decline from December 28 through January 24.

Second, consider that it halted at the January 10 low. Will this old support become new resistance?

Next, the level was also near the 200-day simple moving average (SMA).

Fourth, the news cycle may be less favorable going forward. Positive results from Apple, Microsoft and Alphabet are in the rearview mirror. Meta Platforms tanked last night. Amazon.com, which has also struggled lately, follows this afternoon. After that, the next big names are two weeks away: Nvidia and Cisco Systems.

Finally, as noted on January 14, NDX has broken a 13-month trend line on the heels of some bearish patterns. Also, as noted on January 25, a period of chopping consolidation could follow such a drop. Now that prices have rebounded, is the next phase another probe of the lows as a range plays out?

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