LTC Nearing Decision Time for 15-25% Swing
ที่อัปเดต:
Following yesterday's 10% swing LTCUSD has formed a larger diamond as predicted. If you followed yesterdays idea you caught a 10% swing and now a setup for larger 15-25% swing looks to be forming.
Inside of the diamond are mixed chart signals including a potential descending triangle forming and a potential inverse head and shoulders.
As price action nears the APEX of the diamond, watch for a breakout of the Diamond and confirmation of either a bottom or a half-staff continuation.
Price targets on chart for breakout in either direction.
Breaking up out of the descending triangle before it forms would be a preliminary bullish indicator. A move to the upper trend line would further support the bullish scenario.
Moving down to the bottom trend line of the potential descending triangle would confirm the pattern and support a bearish scenario.
thepatternsite.com/diamondb.html
Inside of the diamond are mixed chart signals including a potential descending triangle forming and a potential inverse head and shoulders.
As price action nears the APEX of the diamond, watch for a breakout of the Diamond and confirmation of either a bottom or a half-staff continuation.
Price targets on chart for breakout in either direction.
Breaking up out of the descending triangle before it forms would be a preliminary bullish indicator. A move to the upper trend line would further support the bullish scenario.
Moving down to the bottom trend line of the potential descending triangle would confirm the pattern and support a bearish scenario.
thepatternsite.com/diamondb.html
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The downward resistance trend line the descending triangle has broke, giving more support to a potential bullish scenario.การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Playing some scalps here. Long position opened at 116.8. Expecting a test of 119.73 and/or the diamond trend line at a minimum.บันทึกช่วยจำ
As usual, tight stops are mandatory.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Diamond trendline being tested. บันทึกช่วยจำ
Broke diamond trendline, trying to test the previous diamond tip at 119.73. Pullback possible here. บันทึกช่วยจำ
Bulls took the tip. Decision time for a pullback or upward continuation.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Little back and forth over the tip resistance...ปิดการเทรด ด้วยตนเอง
Taking profit. Will buy back in using a stop buy at small loss if we break the resistance. Otherwise, looking for a small pullback to buy in.การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Re-entered after bounce off 5m ema 12 (118.6)บันทึกช่วยจำ
Nice bounce. Trying to break 120 resistance now.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Bull volume is still strong.snag.gy/wag7jz.jpg
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Looks like bulls are accumulating here while letting the price slip a little.snag.gy/z9UpuF.jpg
ปิดการเทรด: ถึงเป้าหมายการตัดขาดทุน
Stopped out.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Indicators on multiple time frames are turning bearish as bear volume has finally shown up. This little bounce here might be short lived.snag.gy/YQeJ0d.jpg
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Testing 120 again, might take profit here for another 3% gain.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Breakout... บันทึกช่วยจำ
Two 4k+ LTC buys back to back on GDAX. Expecting a test of the larger diamond tip around 126.91 here. Will review MAs and ICHI clouds for other interim targets.snag.gy/8EJRvI.jpg
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Currently hitting 26ema on the 2 hr. Have ICHI could resistance on the 30 just short of 125.
Past resistance in the chart. Otherwise, should be all clear to test the larger diamond upper tip.
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Bull volume still strong. snag.gy/bYAICP.jpgHistorically speaking, LTC pivots on 5 with 2.50 and 7.50 being battlegrounds. If bulls can't take 122.5, I would expect a pullback below 120.
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We're up 9% already but just a reminder, Tight stops are mandatory.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Battling for the critical 2.50 pivot now. บันทึกช่วยจำ
Bears rejected 2.50 . Not liking the potential gravestone on the 30. Really a horrible candle by itself. However, next candle could confirm trend reversal.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Gravestone turned into a potential evening star. I might to take profit on the next pump here and look buy back in below 120.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Back to an doji. Trade still active watching price action to see if bulls will continue up.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Little pump... this candle is fine. Indicates upward continuation.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Bulls pushing toward 2.50 again...บันทึกช่วยจำ
2.50 taken. บันทึกช่วยจำ
15 and 30 minute indicators show pump is getting overheated. 1 hour has a little room to run. Following with a tight trailing stop to take profit here.15
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ปิดการเทรด: ถึงเป้าหมายการตัดขาดทุน
Stop hit at 123.25. Nice swing trade from 116.25 there for 6% profit. Watching price action here for further direction.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Bad timing... Look at that pump...การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Needless to say trad active again. Back in at 124.ปิดการเทรด: ถึงเป้าหมายการตัดขาดทุน
4 dojis in a row on the 15. Clearly undecided. Make your own decision here... Personally closing out for a small loss at 3.5บันทึกช่วยจำ
Watching the 2.50 pivot here for a decision.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Hit right between the 30 min ICHI cloud target and the diamond tip. Bulls gave up the 2.50 pivot.การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Immediately taken back. Long 122.5ปิดการเทรด: ถึงเป้าหมายการตัดขาดทุน
Exited at 122.99. Frustrating. Chop time I suppose.การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Long at 2.5 againปิดการเทรด: ถึงเป้าหมายการทำกำไร
Exiting here. การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Long here at 118.20, per usual tight stop.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Up $2 so far... ปิดการเทรด: ถึงเป้าหมายการตัดขาดทุน
Stopped out at 120.การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Re-entered at 119.44ปิดการเทรด: ถึงเป้าหมายการตัดขาดทุน
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This could lose ground quite fast.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Local target on the downside drop is 8.53 from 117.27 to 108.74 if the bulls do not show up here and support 117. On such a down swing, a test of the inner diamond tip red lines at 112 and 109.27 can be expected. Another scenario is continue to chop sideways between the 117.5 and 122.5 range until there is decisive breakout in either direction, making shorting here risking. Likewise, going long is also risk because the bottom can easily fallout from under 117 support.
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Likely scenarios....การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Going to make risky play and go long at 117.10 to play a back test of that trend line. Tight stop required because bottom can quickly fall out.I suspect I 'll get stopped out.
ปิดการเทรด: ถึงเป้าหมายการตัดขาดทุน
Stopped out at 7.5บันทึกช่วยจำ
Didn't realize, but visible on the 1 minute, already back tested that trend line once.บันทึกช่วยจำ
LTC has now consolidated into a larger diamond. Price still fell out the bottom and TPs from the original diamond remain unchanged. We could be seeing throwback or pullback, but breaking the tip still remains final confirmation.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Looks like we have a falling wedge after that bounce pointing to 112. Note the price action is based on very low volume, result of asks being pulled on low volume buys -> snag.gy/t7mGpN.jpgs3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/y/YDwOhMHG.png
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BTC big picture since we can' forget LTC will trade in tandem....s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/j/JdtDKQcx.png
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LTC local diamond could be forming on the 15. บันทึกช่วยจำ
Scalp targets on local diamond breakout, if it forms.บันทึกช่วยจำ
LTC getting closer to forming a definitive local diamond. Still could be a few hours away before we see significant local price action.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Perfect hit... Looking for further consolidation now. s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/3/3SBnZJK7.png
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Price bouncing as expected, Maybe short lived. Waiting on breakout confirmation.การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Long here at 116.6, scalping the diamond and playing a potential breakout.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Traded sideways on the 15 and the 30 minute. Not exactly the breakout needed....ปิดการเทรด: ถึงเป้าหมายการตัดขาดทุน
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And price bounces back $1 on no volume. Testing trendline again.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Obvious how that would turn out...บันทึกช่วยจำ
LTC should testing that tip around 115.54. If it breaks 112 inbound... บันทึกช่วยจำ
Testing the tip. Nice size buy wall between it and 115.... Let's see how this turns out.บันทึกช่วยจำ
LTC Tip broke, Bears chewing away at buy wall.In the mean time, BTC has also fell out the bottom of its larger diamond and should be heading down to test its tip
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Looks like a back test. Will take some time to bleed down. Will be bounces on the way.s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/m/mFN1ok6k.png
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LTC local diamond almost at TP... s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/w/WKeSMMbs.png
Meanwhile, BTC making its way to testing that larger tip...
s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/b/BeatQmWU.png
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LTC local Diamond price target hit. Watching price action.บันทึกช่วยจำ
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LTC testing 112 target...บันทึกช่วยจำ
112 broke...s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/l/laww99Zb.png
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So far just a wick and bounce but could be from shorts covering.บันทึกช่วยจำ
BTC looking ready to make a decision here...s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/j/jAZvXVzh.png
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Watch for a breakout up on BTC,hitting the red line would be a nice resistance point and could form a nasty local head and shoulders.บันทึกช่วยจำ
LTC appears to have fell out of bull pennant is back testing now.บันทึกช่วยจำ
BTC... 15 min:And in better detail..
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LTC long 115.5, with tight top. BTC breaking out of diamond upward...ปิดการเทรด: ถึงเป้าหมายการตัดขาดทุน
Stopped out at 116.99. small 1.25% profit. BTC has failed to reach its Diamond TP, so pull back expected.การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
LONG 116.25, tight stopปิดการเทรด ด้วยตนเอง
Taking profit at 188.8, just before our previous diamond tip. Will buy back in if resistance break.sบันทึกช่วยจำ
LTC TP here should be over 120. But we have resistance tips at 188.83 and at 191.71. Expect a pullback.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Perfect hit. Not sure how much pullback we will see, Bulls are buying aggressively. Rather lock in 2.25% profit instead of taking the risk. Would not be surprised to see this continue up though.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Bulls broke through first resistance after 5 minutes of trying. Should hit 1 hour cloud resistance, then larger diamond resistance over the next dollar.Putting in a lower limit order to catch a dump. Will buy back if we break trough the resistance.
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Bulls put up a very large buy wall (8K) on gdax starting 188.83. Don't think they plan on giving it up.Hitting second TP now at 119.73
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LTC Dump right on target as expected. Expected it to be larger....BTC also maybe putting in a rounded top short of 7k after breaking out if its bull flag.
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Looks LTC bulls and bears will battle over the 118.83 - 119.73 range here.บันทึกช่วยจำ
GDAX buy wall being pulled. Bulls look prepared to give it up as BTC continues its pullback.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Bears dumping into the buy wall. Keeps getting lowered and put back. Appears bulls will support it to an extent and imagine they will let it go if sell volume gets to high. Contemplating buying back in here with a tight stop.การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Long 118.86, if nothing else maybe we chop sideways for a few $1 scalp.sบันทึกช่วยจำ
GDAX buy is indicative of a Whale using a bot to cost average in buys.snag.gy/m1HJ7k.jpg
ปิดการเทรด: ถึงเป้าหมายการตัดขาดทุน
Trailing Stop hit at 119.19. LTC Bulls aren't buying here with BTC in a pullback.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Dumped right through that buy wall...snag.gy/cn5OaV.jpg
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BTC pumping, Long 118.6บันทึกช่วยจำ
Really need BTC to hold 7k here... บันทึกช่วยจำ
BTC Back above 7k... needs to first hold and then start climbing toward the 7250 diamond Tip and LTCwill start running... บันทึกช่วยจำ
Not looking good for BTC, below 7k again.ปิดการเทรด: ถึงเป้าหมายการตัดขาดทุน
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Red candle on the hourly here would have bearish implications. LTC needs to close it green.บันทึกช่วยจำ
LTC just made the hourly candle pattern bulls didn't want to see. บันทึกช่วยจำ
Potential Scalp: BTC and LTC has formed Descending Broadening wedge. Trade rule is to buy the 3rd touch and target Point (A) where the descent began with and 83% success rate. thepatternsite.com/dbw.html.It would appear the 115.5-116.5 area might where this touch might occur.
thepatternsite.com/dbw.html
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Going to long a small position here because looking at the charts we may have had 3 touches going by candle bodies as opposed to wicks.ปิดการเทรด: ถึงเป้าหมายการทำกำไร
Target hit. 1% gain but it adds up.บันทึกช่วยจำ
LTC has fell out of a local rising wedge, and is heading for the neckline of a local head and shoulders. TP on the HnS is 113.7 but previous support at 115 should hold. It is also possible that the neckline holds. Possible bounce areas highlighted.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Correction: Local Ascending Broadening Wedge, not rising.บันทึกช่วยจำ
If LTC breaks down this scenario could playout....ปิดการเทรด: ถึงเป้าหมายการทำกำไร
AWB Scalp targets hit. Nice 2% gain there.การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
LTC long again at 119.1 with tight stop.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Looking for a breakout on an ihs. TP would be 129.5, but we have a few resistance points along the way.บันทึกช่วยจำ
BTC is currently bull flagging inside a diamond with with an upper TP of 7420.1 and a lower tp of 6558.1.Additional BTC has broke out of an inverse head and shoulders with a target price 7645. Past targets and resistance still in place.
ปิดการเทรด ด้วยตนเอง
Locking int a 2% profit here. LTC has formed a rising wedge and indicators say its time for a little bit of break. Will Target an MA to buy back in cheaper.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Good timing. Hitting that wedge line. Would like to see it fall out here to fell safer about going long though....การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Hitting the 15 ema 26 at 191.51 right now which is a good bounce point. Ideally, a pullback to the black trend line. But would rather take the $2 increase instead of risking it. However, we can pull back further.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Sill over cooked on the 30 and 1 hour TFs. Might play some more chop to pick some extra coin but that risks selling and having to buy back higher. Watching price action.ปิดการเทรด ด้วยตนเอง
Took a little under 1% profit. Hourly candle doesn't look good.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Down it goes. Gonna let this cool off for a bit here, indicators over heated and look for potential support for reentry. 118.83 or low 119 might do the trick depending on how aggressive the selling is or isn't. การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Going long at 118.8 with tight stop after bouncing off the 1 hour 12 ema.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Tapped out at 118.99. Looking to rebuy lowerปิดการเทรด ด้วยตนเอง
Taking profit at 119.99บันทึกช่วยจำ
LTC is forming a local diamond similar to a previous fractal. Will be watching for a breakout.s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/t/t3LJgs9y.png
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LTC bouncing off diamond trendline. Still risky to trade. Playing that bounce, use a tight stopบันทึกช่วยจำ
LTC nearing first decision here...บันทึกช่วยจำ
LTC has made first decision... Downบันทึกช่วยจำ
LTC Potential falling wedge also broke.บันทึกช่วยจำ
If this holds the trendline would establish an ideal uptrend channel.It is competing against the diamond and local head and shoulders the price just fell from.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Failed to hold. Chart pattern price target is 115.78. Resistance points along the way along with diamond tip right below it.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Going long at 117.7 Potentially dangerous trade to catch, as a cascade of chart patterns could lead us back down to 110 if we don't get a strong bounce. Cover with a tight stop.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Took profit at 119.73 TP. Buying back in lower. การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Long at 119.2ปิดการเทรด ด้วยตนเอง
Took profit at 120.10, nearly 3% over last two trades. Should pull back to 118.8 for reentryการซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Long at 118.5, potential morning star reversal candlestick on the hourly.ปิดการเทรด ด้วยตนเอง
Getting out at same price. Reversal stick being invalidated.การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Long at 118.1ปิดการเทรด: ถึงเป้าหมายการทำกำไร
Another profit at 119.73 TPการซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Long 119.4, tight stop.ปิดการเทรด ด้วยตนเอง
Unexpected dump. exited on bounce back to 119.4บันทึกช่วยจำ
Possible Dump incoming...LTC at possible top of right shoulder of an HNS. A few cents down would make a graveyard or a possible evening star on the hourly
Mean while, BTC has a potential graveyard on the 30 minute, which may also double on the hourly and maybe completing a triple top.
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Watching this hourly close for confirmation.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Correction: Gravestone, not graveyard.การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
LTC long... LTC should be a hold here as long as it stays above this trendline. Breaking it would imply a TP of 110.บันทึกช่วยจำ
If LTC breaks this trend line it will form an ascending broadening wedge. บันทึกช่วยจำ
LTC and BTC TP1 hit.LTC has broke the diamond TP 126.91. On upward continuation, it should find resistance at 130.02 as it moves toward the 133.23 inverse head and shoulders target and on toward the major diamond target at 144.55
BTC has hit its local diamond TP at 7420.
BTC is now inside a rising wedge and if it continues up should move toward the inverse head and shoulders target price of 7645. On upward continuation it should move toward its diamond price at 8005.
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Upper channel trendline hit. Bulls could take a break here.บันทึกช่วยจำ
130 broke... On to inverse head and shoulders target.ปิดการเทรด: ถึงเป้าหมายการตัดขาดทุน
Stopped out hear at 130.12.บันทึกช่วยจำ
15.5% profit on this swing here. Even more with scalping along the way. Will watch price action here. I may close out this idea and start a new one.ปิดการเทรด: ถึงเป้าหมายการทำกำไร
Looks like bulls might keep going here.Going to watch price action and bear volume. Previous resistance points of 125.8 and 126.91 might be good re-entry targets if selling persists.การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Scaling in buys between 128.51 and 125บันทึกช่วยจำ
Looks like a local falling wedge has formed pointing back to the 126.91 previous resistance point. Typically, these will break up between 50-80% of the way through the pattern.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Moved buys under 127 up and scaling between 127 and 129.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Correction: Scaling between 127 and 129.5บันทึกช่วยจำ
Larger falling wedge has formed, along with a ascending broadening wedge which indicates should eventually move back to at least 130.5. Unless the bulls or bears get aggressive here, this would be the expected price action.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Bulls got aggressive. Normally ABW gets three touches.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Larger Ascending Broadening wedge forming. If it pulls back it should touch the lower trend line a 3rd time and should move back to and break the point where it started at 131.35, and should move on to the inverse head and shoulders target of 133.2. Bulls however are being aggressive and bears have yet to unload. This is crypto though and anything can happen.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Bulls kept going. Be on the look out for the following potential scenario: Inverse head and shoulders target hits, price pulls back and forms a diamond.ปิดการเทรด: ถึงเป้าหมายการทำกำไร
Took profit at 133.2. Watching price action for re-entry.บันทึกช่วยจำ
No diamond, just kept going. Next TP is 137.12, with one falling at 138.14. However order book suggests there will be heavy resistance getting there.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Psychological resistance at 135 broke. Testing the 137-138 resistance now. Upon breaking should move to the 144.55 target.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Took profit at 137.5ปิดการเทรด ด้วยตนเอง
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Reentered at 135. Tight stop in case selling continues.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Updating stop to market price (136.37)ปิดการเทรด: ถึงเป้าหมายการตัดขาดทุน
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Can't say for sure, but this is feeling a bit toppy. Protecting profits here.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Dump avoided.การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Scaling buys between 127-132.5ปิดการเทรด: ถึงเป้าหมายการตัดขาดทุน
Trailing stop hit.การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Long here at 131.8 with tight stop. A retest of the high should be in play. Head and should looks to be rejected buy we still need to make sure it doesn't bust.ปิดการเทรด: ถึงเป้าหมายการตัดขาดทุน
Trailing stop hit at 134.70การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Buy back at 134.ปิดการเทรด: ถึงเป้าหมายการตัดขาดทุน
Trailing stop hit at 134.89บันทึกช่วยจำ
Buy back at 134.05บันทึกช่วยจำ
LTC being held up by BTC. Another chance to by a dip.การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
BTC wicking below its rising wedge trendline. Expect a pullback here if breaks.ปิดการเทรด ด้วยตนเอง
Closing out at same price. Gong to wait on BTC here...การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
BTC bouncing, long with tight stop at 133.5ปิดการเทรด ด้วยตนเอง
And there goes bitcoin again. Closing out before LTC follows. บันทึกช่วยจำ
BTC fell out of the rising wedge to form a larger rising wedge. Looks like it still needs a little more down or sideways consolidation to establish an uptrend channel with parallel resistance lines.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Would scale in buys here but BTC still not quite there yet.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Quite possible just a little sideways chop.การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Scaling in buys between 129 and 127. BTC shouldn't have much further down.ปิดการเทรด ด้วยตนเอง
Took profits at 130.14. Might bounce further but knowing LTC likes to retest lows, play it safe and catch the retestการซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Going long at 128. Tight stop, sell-off may not be over.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Scaling addition buys between 126.91 and 128. Expecting bitcoin to bounce between 7237.2 and 7250.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Correction. Expecting BTC bounce between 7237.2 and 7269บันทึกช่วยจำ
BTC bouncing. If it doesn't hold, i'll exit.ปิดการเทรด ด้วยตนเอง
BTC dumping, decent size sells too.บันทึกช่วยจำ
BTC bouncing again, LTC formed a falling wedge. Watching for a breakout to go long.บันทึกช่วยจำ
LTC long 128.5 on breakout.ปิดการเทรด: ถึงเป้าหมายการตัดขาดทุน
Stopped out 130.98บันทึกช่วยจำ
Looking for a diamond to form.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Price targets for a breakout if a diamond forms.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Price targets for a breakout if a diamond forms, with price lines.บันทึกช่วยจำ
GDAX hasa little buy wall at 128.75 so a bounce there to could form this diamond.บันทึกช่วยจำ
LTC and BTC on diamond watch. บันทึกช่วยจำ
Fell out the bottom. Watching for a potential partial decline. Breaking 115.5 would imply continuation to 110.03.บันทึกช่วยจำ
How low will she go... hitting 1.618 fib extension, but diamond target says 110.03 is the target.s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/o/o0bFfsFT.png
บันทึกช่วยจำ
Expecting a little dead cat and sideways chop here before more down, as LTC is hitting the 1.618 extension. Watching price action for a potential bottoming pattern though. Could be an opportunity for a scalp.การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Going long at 114.5, for a scalp.ปิดการเทรด: ถึงเป้าหมายการตัดขาดทุน
Stopped out at 115.1บันทึกช่วยจำ
Trying to put in a local bottom here and price target a few dollar short of anticipated but the Jan. 20th pre-crash fractal overlaid on the current hourly could indicate we have more down here.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Another view with Highs and lows better matched. Could get really nasty if this fractal plays out again.
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