The SPDR Gold Trust ETF has squeezed into a tight range since rallying in mid-2020, and now it may be attempting a breakout.

The main pattern on today’s chart is the pair of converging trendlines running along the highs and lows. GLD made a higher high today for the first time in over a year.

Second, notice how the 200-day simple moving (SMA) turned higher in mid-December and has continued to rise since. That’s a potential sign of the longer-term trend growing more bullish.

Third is the overall macro context, with investors increasingly worried about inflation and Ukraine tensions. Crude oil is back to its highest levels since 2014, while other commodities like soybeans and corn are rallying. That backdrop can potentially increase demand for gold – especially because of its added status as a safe-haven asset.

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