only my idea

pair EURUSD is not just a lonly pair, so it must also check others pair to do good decision. Is other pair near a strong line? yes

GBPUSD is on strong resistance - double top - high probability to do correction= EUR DOWN

EURJPY on strong line - high probability to do correction = EUR DOWN
USDJPY - flag structure - no important
GER30 is also on strong line possibly to make correction - EUR UP

FRom this I mean that EURUSD is going to test again 1.12 and 1.11. GER30 has HIGH impact so its possible to EUR and GBP breaks the strong lines
eurusdlong

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