1. Short-term double bottom. 2. This pair hasn't reached this price level since 2015. 3. I think major longs are waiting at about 1.22 but I also think it will do a bit of bouncing first before ultimately trading down to that level. 4. Because I don't think anyone else wants to based on the ideas page.
Notes:
1. Just my humble opinion only. I know as much (or as little) as anybody else. 2. Trade with money you can only afford to lose. 3. Risk management is absolutely everything when trading forex.