ETH bottom set in?

Hello all,
Just speculation for fun from a fellow beginner and ETH holder.

We seem to be forming a pattern similar to 2018s Cycle bottom.
2018s cycle went down 94% from ATH to bottom. This cycle we've gone down around 70% from ATH.
if cycles were to somewhat repeat we could be in for another 60% to 80% correction at the current price in the worst case scenario OR a 180% increase throughout late January / Early February of 2023 which would mean ETH at around 4k with room for growth if macro economics don't deteriorate too much.


What do you think?