Oil is set to break up the price channel. Lucky this time?

31 ส.ค. 2023

August could be an essential turning point for prices in this regard. This is undoubtedly the case on the WTI price chart.

Early last week, buyers supported oil immediately after falling below $78, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the rally from the June lows (at $67) to the August highs (at $84). This correction has cleared the medium-term overbought condition, with the RSI on the daily chart moving back from over 70.

The reversal to the upside also coincided with the formation of a golden cross, where the 50-day moving average crosses the 200-day MA from below, impacting market sentiment.

The actions of OPEC+ to extend existing restrictions and the recent additional cuts are helping to create a bullish picture on the chart. These efforts have been fruitful so far, as Russia and Saudi Arabia have increased gross oil revenues despite lower production, as higher prices have offset lower sales volumes.