Its actually quite simple.

We can flip the coin right now, bull or bear. 50/50

if it lands on bear we go to 10k, if it lands on bull we go to 200k.

I would take this bet as many times as it is offered to me, even if i kept losing, the outcome given unlimited flips of the coin would favor me.

If you think you have more than a 50% chance guessing the next direction of bitcoin you are delusional.


Life is full of bets that have a good risk/reward ratio.

I could drag bitcoin all the way down to ZERO and i would still take this trade over and over given the risk / reward.