BTC is printing an expanding flat (3-3-5). We can see there is a huge zone of confluence that will complete the narrative for an expanding flat.
TECHNICAL: Purple zone: 20K support zone ( if there is a break and close below this will invalidate the Elliott wave pattern)
Green target line: the 1.27 Fib retracement of wave B
Purple trendline: current weekly trendline support
Yellow wave count: It seems that the impulse waves in this 5 wave count are contracting as we reach the completion of the expanding flat. Waves 1, 3, an 5 are contracting by ~.618
Red target line: Since wave 1/3 = 0.618 then we can assume 3/5= 0.618. Doing this places the end of wave 5 here. (I used fib extensions to find the ratio)
FUNDAMENTAL: Mainstream has adopted that we are in a bear market which is usually the sign of the bottom. Banks are net positive (Long) on BTC according to the COT (commitment of traders). Banks are buying up retails fear.