btcusd path to next big bull run

hello everybody this is the first idea that i publish with you i think this path migh be possible due to fed ,inflation and one other bright reasone that nobdy talks about it yet...can you guess that?
so we may have a short bull run till the end of 2022 then a correction to mark the usual -85% bitcoin bear cycle after that due to that hidden reasone and ultimate fear a touch around 6-7k and a run untill next halving