Looking at BTC trends

First chart just looking at possible scenarios for BTCUSD. I'm thinking bullish with dip in prices some time mid to late next month as quality small-cap cryptos begin to deliver on roadmaps. Also exploring the downward trend over the next 3 months. Seems that would follow the dark purple line, corresponding with the fast MA. That would basically be a continuation of the Dec-Feb decline. That is the 2k scenario.