บิทคอยน์เพิ่มขึ้น
BTC $45800 in June 2020
This chart has multiple pieces so let’s break it down slow and steady. The ultimate goal of this idea is to predict the price of Bitcoin leading up to the 2020 Halving by analyzing the 2016 Halving.
The top chart shows the months leading up the 2016 Halving with a Fibonacci graph laid over top. The bottom chart shows the months leading up the 2020 Halving with a Fibonacci graph laid over top. Both Fibonacci graphs start at the lowest support established during their respective bear markets. For the top chart the lowest support was $200 in August 2015. For the bottom chart the lowest support was $3100 in December 2018. From both of these points onward the price volatility behaved in similar ways. Expansion and consolidation periods both track the 0.786, 0.618, and 0.5 ratios. The points at which the price contacts the ratio levels are marked with purple horizontal lines.
The Fibonacci graphs naturally draw a white dotted trend lines between the beginning and the end (1.00 and 0.00). In both charts the price bounces against the white dotted lines, which are marked by yellow lines. In short, the Fibonacci graphs are credible because they both line up with various areas of support/resistance.
The key difference between the 2016 Halving chart (top) and the 2020 Halving chart (bottom) is that the 2020 Halving is yet to occur. Consequently, the Fibonacci graph for the 2020 Halving projects a majority of its trend line into the future. This is where I take interest. This trend line can be used to predict when the price should contact different Fibonacci ratios.
Highlighted with neon blue circles, I have marked three predictions for Bitcoin hitting the 0.786, 0.618, and 0.00 levels. The when and where (price and date) are written in neon blue next to their respective circles. I am the least confident of the $12300 prediction, as Bitcoin could easily break this level before late September.
Prophecy:
September 22, 2019 @ $12300
December 28, 2019 @ $19500 (previous ATH)
June 22, 2020 @ $45800
I find reassurance in these predictions as they are relatively close to 4chan’s predictions, who has been spot-on as of the time of writing (August 2019).
4chan's Predictions published by CryptoGlobe are linked below...
The top chart shows the months leading up the 2016 Halving with a Fibonacci graph laid over top. The bottom chart shows the months leading up the 2020 Halving with a Fibonacci graph laid over top. Both Fibonacci graphs start at the lowest support established during their respective bear markets. For the top chart the lowest support was $200 in August 2015. For the bottom chart the lowest support was $3100 in December 2018. From both of these points onward the price volatility behaved in similar ways. Expansion and consolidation periods both track the 0.786, 0.618, and 0.5 ratios. The points at which the price contacts the ratio levels are marked with purple horizontal lines.
The Fibonacci graphs naturally draw a white dotted trend lines between the beginning and the end (1.00 and 0.00). In both charts the price bounces against the white dotted lines, which are marked by yellow lines. In short, the Fibonacci graphs are credible because they both line up with various areas of support/resistance.
The key difference between the 2016 Halving chart (top) and the 2020 Halving chart (bottom) is that the 2020 Halving is yet to occur. Consequently, the Fibonacci graph for the 2020 Halving projects a majority of its trend line into the future. This is where I take interest. This trend line can be used to predict when the price should contact different Fibonacci ratios.
Highlighted with neon blue circles, I have marked three predictions for Bitcoin hitting the 0.786, 0.618, and 0.00 levels. The when and where (price and date) are written in neon blue next to their respective circles. I am the least confident of the $12300 prediction, as Bitcoin could easily break this level before late September.
Prophecy:
September 22, 2019 @ $12300
December 28, 2019 @ $19500 (previous ATH)
June 22, 2020 @ $45800
I find reassurance in these predictions as they are relatively close to 4chan’s predictions, who has been spot-on as of the time of writing (August 2019).
4chan's Predictions published by CryptoGlobe are linked below...
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