If BTC were in a real bear market...
This chat shows what I am tracking in the case that Bitcoin breaks down from here, on a longer term time frame (red arrows), and enters a real bear market (not just a correction, which I think we could potentially be seeing at the moment). As I have learned from being in this market since early 2016, if you think Bitcoin can drop X amount and hit a "bottom"... double that amount, it will drop way more than you think. If you think it can go up X amount, double that amount, it will go up way more than you think. And at the same time, if someone has a wild prediction like "Bitcoin will hit $196,000 by September 12th at 4:30pm"... that is complete nonsense, but of course it could happen!
Fact is, nobody can predict the future. ESPECIALLY those who say "Bitcoin NEEDS to go up because X"... Bitcoin does not NEED to do ANYTHING they say. The market will do what the market does and you can only prepare for the best outcome.
But the main idea here is, you will never 100% know when those rallies or those dumps will start, and you will never 100% know when each top or bottom is reached. There is only so much technical technical analysis that can be done. Only so many predictions that can be made. What it really comes down to is, time in the market beats timing the market.
I'm a buy and hold type of investor, for all stocks, cryptocurrencies, and real estate. Technical analysis "chart art" is simply a fun hobby for me, and it's entertaining to see the "guru" predictions and ultra technical colorful lines people draw, wave counts, spirals, pictures, etc... whatever you call it... I believe in strategies that absolutely work. And it's up to you to find what works for you. For me, that's buy and hold, for the long term.
Wishing you all the best of luck in 2022!
- HDLR
Fact is, nobody can predict the future. ESPECIALLY those who say "Bitcoin NEEDS to go up because X"... Bitcoin does not NEED to do ANYTHING they say. The market will do what the market does and you can only prepare for the best outcome.
But the main idea here is, you will never 100% know when those rallies or those dumps will start, and you will never 100% know when each top or bottom is reached. There is only so much technical technical analysis that can be done. Only so many predictions that can be made. What it really comes down to is, time in the market beats timing the market.
I'm a buy and hold type of investor, for all stocks, cryptocurrencies, and real estate. Technical analysis "chart art" is simply a fun hobby for me, and it's entertaining to see the "guru" predictions and ultra technical colorful lines people draw, wave counts, spirals, pictures, etc... whatever you call it... I believe in strategies that absolutely work. And it's up to you to find what works for you. For me, that's buy and hold, for the long term.
Wishing you all the best of luck in 2022!
- HDLR
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