The current market phase appears to be in the final stages of a significant uptrend, with Bitcoin reaching a potential peak near $108,000. This aligns with the completion of the 5th wave in Elliott Wave theory. After this peak, a corrective phase is anticipated, which could result in a retracement of 50% or more from the top.
Key levels to watch during the correction are marked by Fibonacci retracements:
86k (23.6% retracement): Initial support zone. 72k (38.2% retracement): A critical level where a bounce could occur. 61k (50% retracement): A psychologically significant level. 51k (61.8% retracement): A deeper correction target. The market may form a reversal pattern during this corrective phase, with potential sideways or downward consolidation lasting through 2025. Traders should remain cautious and watch for confirmation of trend reversals at these levels.