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ADA | Back to bear market lows, or back to your portfolio?

ADA has been out of the top 5 cryptos for a while and largely out of the spotlight. But is that about to change? Let’s dive into a few key factors that could offer insight into what’s coming next.

-- Support & Resistance

Currently, ADA is trading near the bottom of its range at around $0.34, a key level that has historically divided bull market price action from long-term bear market accumulation since 2022. In a bull market, this is the kind of price level investors can only dream of buying at. However, with Bitcoin consolidating at its previous cycle’s all-time high for the past seven months, altcoins have suffered, allowing prices to fall to these accumulation-friendly levels.

The top of the range sits between $0.40 and $0.43, where we've seen two rejections and one false breakout. Despite this, I wouldn’t lean towards a bearish outlook, as we’ve had two false breakouts and three successful support holds, suggesting bulls have more control over this range.

-- Trendlines

As shown on the chart, ADA is forming a large pennant pattern, a key signal of potential consolidation before a significant move. Currently, the price is testing the lower trendline of this pennant, which aligns with the range’s support level. This convergence provides strong confluence, reinforcing the idea that we could see a bounce from here. The pattern's structure suggests that, as long as the lower boundary holds, ADA may be positioning for a breakout. Watching how price action reacts to this area will be crucial in determining the next move.

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In conclusion, ADA is showing signs of potential strength at key support levels, both in terms of price range and trendline confluence. With bulls maintaining control over the range and a possible breakout on the horizon, the upcoming price action could signal a shift back into the spotlight for ADA.
PennantSupport and ResistanceTrend Lines

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