The SSE Composite is looking for a generational trough lands
ที่อัปเดต:
It's looking for a trough in weeks/months for a big bounce up. One final leg down on "Weekly" to wrap things up.! Time + Structure is key here. Seasonality is bullish till May, but structurally looks like another low.! Or this analysis is basically wrong.!
บันทึกช่วยจำ
Monthly perspective vs weekly up.!บันทึกช่วยจำ
บันทึกช่วยจำ
บันทึกช่วยจำ
บันทึกช่วยจำ
บันทึกช่วยจำ
Zoom in, 2 false break downs.!บันทึกช่วยจำ
This needs to hold up for BABA to go up.!บันทึกช่วยจำ
We have already broken : (Not good for NIO + BABA)1/ Triangle.
2/ Channel
3/ Trend lines
Good news, is that we are in oversold territory.! ( Good for NIO & BABA)
บันทึกช่วยจำ
บันทึกช่วยจำ
Technically a dream land for the Bulls, fundamentally something else.!- Ever probable, applicable & else absolute.!
1/ Textbook 5 waves down + Seasonality Vs Fundamentals + Geopolitical issues
2/ Weekly RSI Diver .!
SSEC vs SPX.!
บันทึกช่วยจำ
W1 is (-14%) VS 9-14%) W5บันทึกช่วยจำ
- Ever probable, applicable & else absolute.! 1/ Unless WW 3 starts, we start 1929 recession, geopolitical issues arise and we totally stop rhythming with the past + 40 Years or so since 1992-2023 we are having a major trough a "Generational" one.
2/ With a risk down of (-3%)-(-7%) from this week till April of 2024 .!
3/ I am using SPX/SSEC'S MACD highest reading, represented here with Blue lines.!
4/ 8 signals out there since 1992 .!
5/ The move is between +39% up to +300% with in 15 weeks or 129 Days.!
บันทึกช่วยจำ
Live charts.!tradingview.com/chart/2o39Qq0Y/
tradingview.com/chart/K4hJSUOC/
บันทึกช่วยจำ
Vortex Indicator's MACD is suggesting that we are in the final stages of this move, with a (-4%)(-5%) (-9%) risk down.! We are in the process of "Trough Making".!บันทึกช่วยจำ
Vortex Indicator's MACD "V-" is suggesting that we are in the final stages of this move, with a (-4%)- (-13%) risk down.! We are in the process of "Trough Making".! บันทึกช่วยจำ
- Regular MACD'S Divergence with price has an outstanding bullish moves, ranging between +15% up to 485% if and only if we hold this divergence.!- August 2013 is quite strong fractal.!
- If ever probable, applicable & all else absolute.!
บันทึกช่วยจำ
Monthly RSI @ 38 if and only if applicable, probable and all else absolute has a "Trough Making " in progress structure. With down risk in RED and Bullish moves are in Green.บันทึกช่วยจำ
Closest fractal is this on Monthly which was followed by a +36% Bullish move then major lower low .! 2002-2003 .!- If and only if applicable, probable and all else absolute
บันทึกช่วยจำ
Could not fit both in one idea.! "Present"บันทึกช่วยจำ
2002-20032023
บันทึกช่วยจำ
Is it a "Trough making " in progress ?Or this time it's different and we crash big time.!
Technical analysis vs Geopolitical + fundamentals
บันทึกช่วยจำ
For BABA and NIO holders...As time passes #4 & # 2 :
1/ Similar RSI. 2/ Similar wave structs 3 troughs(Thus far).
3/ -24 & -41% are also one of the differences.!
4/ SM Averages are the in total different positions .!
บันทึกช่วยจำ
RSI OF RSI is still hanging on it's diver, will it be invalidated or no yet to be "Observed"บันทึกช่วยจำ
*** If and only if applicable, probable and all else absolute ***The RSI on Monthly is entering a historic buying area a "Generational one". The next (-10%) -(-25%) in Q1 +Q2 of 2024 is the max risk if we rhythm or this TA is basically wrong & Geopolitics runs the show .!
บันทึกช่วยจำ
Up dating a previous idea... Entering risk box soon or not ?บันทึกช่วยจำ
SPX/SSECUp dating our MACD'S High readings study:
บันทึกช่วยจำ
*** If and only if applicable, probable and all else absolute ***January- March of 2024 is a major trough land for the SSEC, or not and this MACD'S analysis is wrong.!
บันทึกช่วยจำ
Same idea on a weekly chart...บันทึกช่วยจำ
Updating 230 Monthly SMA...บันทึกช่วยจำ
บันทึกช่วยจำ
Will we gap down or not in February ? To make one big "Bear tap" .!บันทึกช่วยจำ
RSI'S Readings VS Percentage decline from last major top .!- Or its a different move this time around.!
- Ever probable, applicable and all else absolute.!
บันทึกช่วยจำ
Updating...บันทึกช่วยจำ
Some observations, food for thought .! Divers between EEM and SSEC .!- BABA and NIO holders ....
- Big moves were missed big time.!
- Not clear to me how to use these so called related instruments together.!
บันทึกช่วยจำ
Correlation between EEM/SSEC and BABA.!บันทึกช่วยจำ
Updating with RSI + MACDบันทึกช่วยจำ
EEM'S ETF is printing the lowest RSI reading with the highest trough out there .!บันทึกช่วยจำ
บันทึกช่วยจำ
RED Circles:- 2015 BABA leads by 6 Months
- 2019 BABA leads by 15 Months
- 2023 BABA leads by 15 Months ( Or we get a bull's trap.!) "False signal .!
บันทึกช่วยจำ
Updating..One signal is out of service .! These divers, in the past, resulted in +24% Bullish move.!
บันทึกช่วยจำ
1st major support area has been achieved.!บันทึกช่วยจำ
Updating...We have exceeded one of our bearish targets already.!
บันทึกช่วยจำ
Updating...Our risk model for BABA + NIO holders is 2ed to July of 1994, with 20% bearish steam in it within 60-90 Days if ever applicable, probable and all else absolute.!
บันทึกช่วยจำ
Updating the Monthly's RSI...Past...
Present with risk down off (-8%) in 60 Days.
- If ever applicable, probable and all else absolute.!
บันทึกช่วยจำ
The big difference here for BABA and NIO holders is we are printing this at a higher price .!บันทึกช่วยจำ
EEM is printing a rare signal as such on the chart.!บันทึกช่วยจำ
This is the complete opposite of the previous idea.!
I do more in depth studies of stocks on my twitter account. Hope you would enjoy it there as you are enjoying it here.
****** Past performance is no guarantee of future results***
twitter.com/samitrading1
****** Past performance is no guarantee of future results***
twitter.com/samitrading1
คำจำกัดสิทธิ์ความรับผิดชอบ
ข้อมูลและบทความไม่ได้มีวัตถุประสงค์เพื่อก่อให้เกิดกิจกรรมทางการเงิน, การลงทุน, การซื้อขาย, ข้อเสนอแนะ หรือคำแนะนำประเภทอื่น ๆ ที่ให้หรือรับรองโดย TradingView อ่านเพิ่มเติมที่ ข้อกำหนดการใช้งาน