Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator (idea by Claudia Sahm) based on US national unemployment rate.
I added an enhanced feature (optional) that uses slight variation in Sahm's idea and is usable to detect oversold stocks/crypto.
This model uses a Smoothed RSI to measure the momentum of the Civilian Unemployment Rate as published by FRED. The behavior of the unemployment rate makes it ideal for applying momentum-based timing techniques because it tends to rise sharply in a short time period and then declines gradually over a longer period. Using other basic momentum-based timing techniques...