One of my favorite stops is the ATR Trailing Stop-loss. With the implementation of PineScript v5, a code update was needed in order to use this stop/exit-strategy with newer strategy scripts. A timeframe selector that was not featured on earlier versions is also included. This new version can be plugged into PineScript v5 strategies, and also has a...
When asked what the key to successful investing was, Warren Buffet famously said “buy low, sell high.” Was he onto something? Today I am sharing with the community a simple “buy low, sell high” strategy with an optional trend filter and take-profit target. I’ve found that this strategy works well in a variety of markets but has a higher tendency to out-perform buy...
Trend following is one of the better known technical trading strategies. But, which trend should you follow? Today I am sharing with the community a trend following template script that includes a selection of over 20 different trends / regressions. Some of these are in the Pine library, and some have been custom coded and contributed over time by the beloved Pine...
One of the most common messages I get is people reaching out asking for quantitative strategies that trade cryptocurrency. This has compelled me to write this script and article, to help provide a quantitative/technical perspective on why I believe most strategies people write for crypto fail catastrophically, and how one might build measures within their...
Today I am releasing to the community an original short-term, high-probability gap trading strategy, backed by a 20 year backtest. This strategy capitalizes on the mean reverting behavior of equity ETFs, which is largely driven by fear in the market. The strategy buys into that fear at a level that has historically mean reverted within ~5 days. Larry Connors has...
Today I am sharing with the community trend cross strategy template that incorporates any combination of over 20 built in indicators. Some of these indicators are in the Pine library, and some have been custom coded and contributed over time by the beloved Pine Coder community. Identifying a trend cross is a common trend following strategy and a common custom-code...
With the current level of inflation and the Fed outlook on interest rates, it inspired some studying on the relationship between Fed rate increases and stock market performance over periods of inflation. Today I am releasing to the community an indicator that will show you the Fed Funds Rate historically. You can add it to any chart or index to study the impact of...
TradingView has a little-known integration that allows you to pull in 3rd party data-sets from Nasdaq Data Link, also known as Quandl. Today, I am open-sourcing for the community an indicator that uses the Quandl integration to pull in historical data and ratios on the S&P500. I originally coded this to study macro P/E ratios during peaks and troughs of boom/bust...
Introduction
The last time (as of this publishing) that this indicator detected an inverted interest rate yield curve was on February 20th, 2020 at 12:30pm EST, the afternoon before the S&P500 began one of its largest crashes in US history. The vast majority of major economic recessions since the 1950's have been preceded by an interest rate yield curve...
Introduction: This strategy is a modification of the “3-day Mean Reversion Strategy” from the book "High Probability ETF Trading" by Larry Connors and Cesar Alvarez. In the book, the authors discuss a high-probability ETF mean reversion strategy for a 1-day time-frame with these simple rules:
The price must be above the 200 day SMA and below the 5 day SMA.
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Today I am sharing with the community a volatility indicator that can help you or your algorithms avoid black swan events. Variance is most commonly used in statistics to derive standard deviation (with its square root). It does have another practical application, and that is to identify outliers in a sample of data. Variance in statistics is defined as the...
Inflation and the Fed interest rate impacts all corners of the economy. Today I am releasing to the community an indicator that measures the rate of change of inflation with historical data back to ~1950. I built this to study the historical market impacts of inflation and changes to the Fed rate (see separate indicator I published for Fed Funds Rate here ).
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Today I am sharing with the community a volatility indicator that uses the Nasdaq VXN Volatility Index to help you or your algorithms avoid black swan events. This is a similar the indicator I published last week that uses the SP500 VIX, but this indicator uses the Nasdaq VXN and can help inform strategies on the Nasdaq index or Nasdaq derivative instruments....
There is a wide range of opinion on holding positions overnight due to gap risk. So, out of curiosity, I coded this analysis as a strategy to see what the result of only holding a position overnight on an asset would be. The results really surprised me. The script backtests 10+ years, and here are the findings:
Holding a position for 1 hour bar overnight on...
This strategy is a modification of the “R3 Strategy” from the book "High Probability ETF Trading" by Larry Connors and Cesar Alvarez. This RSI strategy is for a 1-day time-frame and has these 3 simple rules:
Criteria:
The price must be above the 200 day moving average.
The 2-period (day) RSI drops 3 days in a row.
The 2-period RSI must have been below 60 3...
From time to time, you may want to overlay multiple assets on the same chart instead of using multi-chart views. This can be a much cleaner way of viewing and comparing multiple assets. There is some functionality built into TradingView that lets you do this to a certain extent, but I wanted additional options, correlation labeling and ways to adjust the overlay...
Standard Deviation is a common measure of volatility (the dispersion of data relative to its mean). However, when using it as an indicator, it can be more useful at times to know the deviation relative to the price as a percentage versus the hard value. This normalizes the data so that it is easier to compare the deviation of different assets. By definition,...
