Linear Regression Channel [TradingFinder] Existing Trend Line🔵 Introduction
The Linear Regression Channel indicator is one of the technical analysis tool, widely used to identify support, resistance, and analyze upward and downward trends.
The Linear Regression Channel comprises five main components : the midline, representing the linear regression line, and the support and resistance lines, which are calculated based on the distance from the midline using either standard deviation or ATR.
This indicator leverages linear regression to forecast price changes based on historical data and encapsulates price movements within a price channel.
The upper and lower lines of the channel, which define resistance and support levels, assist traders in pinpointing entry and exit points, ultimately aiding better trading decisions.
When prices approach these channel lines, the likelihood of interaction with support or resistance levels increases, and breaking through these lines may signal a price reversal or continuation.
Due to its precision in identifying price trends, analyzing trend reversals, and determining key price levels, the Linear Regression Channel indicator is widely regarded as a reliable tool across financial markets such as Forex, stocks, and cryptocurrencies.
🔵 How to Use
🟣 Identifying Entry Signals
One of the primary uses of this indicator is recognizing buy signals. The lower channel line acts as a support level, and when the price nears this line, the likelihood of an upward reversal increases.
In an uptrend : When the price approaches the lower channel line and signs of upward reversal (e.g., reversal candlesticks or high trading volume) are observed, it is considered a buy signal.
In a downtrend : If the price breaks the lower channel line and subsequently re-enters the channel, it may signal a trend change, offering a buying opportunity.
🟣 Identifying Exit Signals
The Linear Regression Channel is also used to identify sell signals. The upper channel line generally acts as a resistance level, and when the price approaches this line, the likelihood of a price decrease increases.
In an uptrend : Approaching the upper channel line and observing weakness in the uptrend (e.g., declining volume or reversal patterns) indicates a sell signal.
In a downtrend : When the price reaches the upper channel line and reverses downward, this is considered a signal to exit trades.
🟣 Analyzing Channel Breakouts
The Linear Regression Channel allows traders to identify price breakouts as strong signals of potential trend changes.
Breaking the upper channel line : Indicates buyer strength and the likelihood of a continued uptrend, often accompanied by increased trading volume.
Breaking the lower channel line : Suggests seller dominance and the possibility of a continued downtrend, providing a strong sell signal.
🟣 Mean Reversion Analysis
A key concept in using the Linear Regression Channel is the tendency for prices to revert to the midline of the channel, which acts as a dynamic moving average, reflecting the price's equilibrium over time.
In uptrends : Significant deviations from the midline increase the likelihood of a price retracement toward the midline.
In downtrends : When prices deviate considerably from the midline, a return toward the midline can be used to identify potential reversal points.
🔵 Settings
🟣 Time Frame
The time frame setting enables users to view higher time frame data on a lower time frame chart. This feature is especially useful for traders employing multi-time frame analysis.
🟣 Regression Type
Standard : Utilizes classical linear regression to draw the midline and channel lines.
Advanced : Produces similar results to the standard method but may provide slightly different alignment on the chart.
🟣 Scaling Type
Standard Deviation : Suitable for markets with stable volatility.
ATR (Average True Range) : Ideal for markets with higher volatility.
🟣 Scaling Coefficients
Larger coefficients create broader channels for broader trend analysis.
Smaller coefficients produce tighter channels for precision analysis.
🟣 Channel Extension
None : No extension.
Left: Extends lines to the left to analyze historical trends.
Right : Extends lines to the right for future predictions.
Both : Extends lines in both directions.
🔵 Conclusion
The Linear Regression Channel indicator is a versatile and powerful tool in technical analysis, providing traders with support, resistance, and midline insights to better understand price behavior. Its advanced settings, including time frame selection, regression type, scaling options, and customizable coefficients, allow for tailored and precise analysis.
One of its standout advantages is its ability to support multi-time frame analysis, enabling traders to view higher time frame data within a lower time frame context. The option to use scaling methods like ATR or standard deviation further enhances its adaptability to markets with varying volatility.
Designed to identify entry and exit signals, analyze mean reversion, and assess channel breakouts, this indicator is suitable for a wide range of markets, including Forex, stocks, and cryptocurrencies. By incorporating this tool into your trading strategy, you can make more informed decisions and improve the accuracy of your market predictions.
Linear-regression
Linear Regression Intensity [AlgoAlpha]Introducing the Linear Regression Intensity indicator by AlgoAlpha, a sophisticated tool designed to measure and visualize the strength of market trends using linear regression analysis. This indicator not only identifies bullish and bearish trends with precision but also quantifies their intensity, providing traders with deeper insights into market dynamics. Whether you’re a novice trader seeking clearer trend signals or an experienced analyst looking for nuanced trend strength indicators, Linear Regression Intensity offers the clarity and detail you need to make informed trading decisions.
Key Features:
📊 Comprehensive Trend Analysis: Utilizes linear regression over customizable periods to assess and quantify trend strength.
🎨 Customizable Appearance: Choose your preferred colors for bullish and bearish trends to align with your trading style.
🔧 Flexible Parameters: Adjust the lookback period, range tolerance, and regression length to tailor the indicator to your specific strategy.
📉 Dynamic Bar Coloring: Instantly visualize trend states with color-coded bars—green for bullish, red for bearish, and gray for neutral.
🏷️ Intensity Labels: Displays dynamic labels that represent the intensity of the current trend, helping you gauge market momentum at a glance.
🔔 Alert Conditions: Set up alerts for strong bullish or bearish trends and trend neutrality to stay ahead of market movements without constant monitoring.
Quick Guide to Using Linear Regression Intensity:
🛠 Add the Indicator: Simply add Linear Regression Intensity to your TradingView chart from your favorites. Customize the settings such as lookback period, range tolerance, and regression length to fit your trading approach.
📈 Market Analysis: Observe the color-coded bars to quickly identify the current trend state. Use the intensity labels to understand the strength behind each trend, allowing for more strategic entry and exit points.
🔔 Set Up Alerts: Enable alerts for when strong bullish or bearish trends are detected or when the trend reaches a neutral zone. This ensures you never miss critical market movements, even when you’re away from the chart.
How It Works:
The Linear Regression Intensity indicator leverages linear regression to calculate the underlying trend of a selected price source over a specified length. By analyzing the consistency of the regression values within a defined lookback period, it determines the trend’s intensity based on a percentage tolerance. The indicator aggregates pairwise comparisons of regression values to assess whether the trend is predominantly upward or downward, assigning a state of bullish, bearish, or neutral accordingly. This state is then visually represented through dynamic bar colors and intensity labels, offering a clear and immediate understanding of market conditions. Additionally, the inclusion of Average True Range (ATR) ensures that the intensity visualization accounts for market volatility, providing a more robust and reliable trend assessment. With customizable settings and alert conditions, Linear Regression Intensity empowers traders to fine-tune their strategies and respond swiftly to evolving market trends.
Elevate your trading strategy with Linear Regression Intensity and gain unparalleled insights into market trends! 🌟📊
Half Trend Regression [AlgoAlpha]Introducing the Half Trend Regression indicator by AlgoAlpha, a cutting-edge tool designed to provide traders with precise trend detection and reversal signals. This indicator uniquely combines linear regression analysis with ATR-based channel offsets to deliver a dynamic view of market trends. Ideal for traders looking to integrate statistical methods into their analysis to improve trade timing and decision-making.
Key Features
🎨 Customizable Appearance : Adjust colors for bullish (green) and bearish (red) trends to match your charting preferences.
🔧 Flexible Parameters : Configure amplitude, channel deviation, and linear regression length to tailor the indicator to different time frames and trading styles.
📈 Dynamic Trend Line : Utilizes linear regression of high, low, and close prices to calculate a trend line that adapts to market movements.
🚀 Trend Direction Signals : Provides clear visual signals for potential trend reversals with plotted arrows on the chart.
📊 Adaptive Channels : Incorporates ATR-based channel offsets to account for market volatility and highlight potential support and resistance zones.
🔔 Alerts : Set up alerts for bullish or bearish trend changes to stay informed of market shifts in real-time.
How to Use
🛠 Add the Indicator : Add the Half Trend Regression indicator to your chart from the TradingView library. Access the settings to customize parameters such as amplitude, channel deviation, and linear regression length to suit your trading strategy.
📊 Analyze the Trend : Observe the plotted trend line and the filled areas under it. A green fill indicates a bullish trend, while a red fill indicates a bearish trend.
🔔 Set Alerts : Use the built-in alert conditions to receive notifications when a trend reversal is detected, allowing you to react promptly to market changes.
How It Works
The Half Trend Regression indicator calculates linear regression lines for the high, low, and close prices over a specified period to determine the general direction of the market. It then computes moving averages and identifies the highest and lowest points within these regression lines to establish a dynamic trend line. The trend direction is determined by comparing the moving averages and previous price levels, updating as new data becomes available. To account for market volatility, the indicator calculates channels above and below the trend line, offset by a multiple of half the Average True Range (ATR). These channels help visualize potential support and resistance zones. The area under the trend line is filled with color corresponding to the current trend direction—green for bullish and red for bearish. When the trend direction changes, the indicator plots arrows on the chart to signal a potential reversal, and alerts can be set up to notify you. By integrating linear regression and ATR-based channels, the indicator provides a comprehensive view of market trends and potential reversal points, aiding traders in making informed decisions.
Enhance your trading strategy with the Half Trend Regression indicator by AlgoAlpha and gain a statistical edge in the markets! 🌟📊
Alpine Predictive BandsAlpine Predictive Bands - ADX & Trend Projection is an advanced indicator crafted to estimate potential price zones and trend strength by integrating dynamic support/resistance bands, ADX-based confidence scoring, and linear regression-based price projections. Designed for adaptive trend analysis, this tool combines multi-timeframe ADX insights, volume metrics, and trend alignment for improved confidence in trend direction and reliability.
Key Calculations and Components:
Linear Regression for Price Projection:
Purpose: Provides a trend-based projection line to illustrate potential price direction.
Calculation: The Linear Regression Centerline (LRC) is calculated over a user-defined lookbackPeriod. The slope, representing the rate of price movement, is extended forward using predictionLength. This projected path only appears when the confidence score is 70% or higher, revealing a white dotted line to highlight high-confidence trends.
Adaptive Prediction Bands:
Purpose: ATR-based bands offer dynamic support/resistance zones by adjusting to volatility.
Calculation: Bands are calculated using the Average True Range (ATR) over the lookbackPeriod, multiplied by a volatilityMultiplier to adjust the width. These shaded bands expand during higher volatility, guiding traders in identifying flexible support/resistance zones.
Confidence Score (ADX, Volume, and Trend Alignment):
Purpose: Reflects the reliability of trend projections by combining ADX, volume status, and EMA alignment across multiple timeframes.
ADX Component: ADX values from the current timeframe and two higher timeframes assess trend strength on a broader scale. Strong ADX readings across timeframes boost the confidence score.
Volume Component: Volume strength is marked as “High” or “Low” based on a moving average, signaling trend participation.
Trend Alignment: EMA alignment across timeframes indicates “Bullish” or “Bearish” trends, confirming overall trend direction.
Calculation: ADX, volume, and trend alignment integrate to produce a confidence score from 0% to 100%. When the score exceeds 70%, the white projection line is activated, underscoring high-confidence trend continuations.
User Guide
Projection Line: The white dotted line, which appears only when the confidence score is 70% or higher, highlights a high-confidence trend.
Prediction Bands: Adaptive bands provide potential support/resistance zones, expanding with market volatility to help traders visualize price ranges.
Confidence Score: A high score indicates a stronger, more reliable trend and can support trend-following strategies.
Settings
Prediction Length: Determines the forward length of the projection.
Lookback Period: Sets the data range for calculating regression and ATR.
Volatility Multiplier: Adjusts the width of bands to match volatility levels.
Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational purposes and does not guarantee future price outcomes. Additional analysis is recommended, as trading carries inherent risks.
Periodic Linear Regressions [LuxAlgo]The Periodic Linear Regressions (PLR) indicator calculates linear regressions periodically (similar to the VWAP indicator) based on a user-set period (anchor).
This allows for estimating underlying trends in the price, as well as providing potential supports/resistances.
🔶 USAGE
The Periodic Linear Regressions indicator calculates a linear regression over a user-selected interval determined from the selected "Anchor Period".
The PLR can be visualized as a regular linear regression (Static), with a fit readjusting for new data points until the end of the selected period, or as a moving average (Rolling), with new values obtained from the last point of a linear regression fitted over the calculation interval. While the static method line is prone to repainting, it has value since it can further emphasize the linearity of an underlying trend, as well as suggest future trend directions by extrapolating the fit.
Extremities are included in the indicator, these are obtained from the root mean squared error (RMSE) between the price and calculated linear regression. The Multiple setting allows the users to control how far each extremity is from the other.
Periodic Linear Regressions can be helpful in finding support/resistance areas or even opportunities when ranging in a channel.
The anchor - where a new period starts - can be shown (in this case in the top right corner).
The shown bands can be visualized by enabling Show Extremities in settings ( Rolling or Static method).
The script includes a background gradient color option for the bands, which only applies when using the Rolling method.
The indicator colors can be suggestive of the detected trend and are determined as follows:
Method Rolling: a gradient color between red and green indicates the trend; more green if the output is rising, suggesting an uptrend, and more red if it is decreasing, suggesting a downtrend.
Method Static: green if the slope of the line is positive, suggesting an uptrend, red if negative, suggesting a downtrend.
🔶 DETAILS
🔹 Anchor Type
When the Anchor Type is set to Periodic , the indicator will be reset when the "Anchor Period" changes, after which calculations will start again.
An anchored rolling line set at First Bar won't reset at a new session; it will continue calculating the linear regression from the first bar to the last; in other words, every bar is included in the calculation. This can be useful to detect potential long-term tops/bottoms.
Note that a linear regression needs at least two values for its calculation, which explains why you won't see a static line at the first bar of the session. The rolling linear regression will only show from the 3rd bar of the session since it also needs a previous value.
🔹 Rolling/Static
When Anchor Type is set at Periodic , a linear regression is calculated between the first bar of the chosen session and the current bar, aiming to find the line that best fits the dataset.
The example above shows the lines drawn during the session. The offered script, though, shows the last calculated point connected to the previous point when the Rolling method is chosen, while the Static method shows the latest line.
Note that linear regression needs at least two values, which explains why you won't see a static line at the first bar of the session. The rolling line will only show from the 3rd bar of the session since it also needs a previous value.
🔶 SETTINGS
Method: Indicator method used, with options: "Static" (straight line) / "Rolling" (rolling linear regression).
Anchor Type: "Periodic / First Bar" (the latter works only when "Method" is set to "Rolling").
Anchor Period: Only applicable when "Anchor Type" is set at "Periodic".
Source: open, high, low, close, ...
Multiple: Alters the width of the bands when "Show Extremities" is enabled.
Show Extremities: Display one upper and one lower extremity.
🔹 Color Settings
Mono Color: color when "Bicolor" is disabled
Bicolor: Toggle on/off + Colors
Gradient: Background color when "Show extremities" is enabled + level of gradient
🔹 Dashboard
Show Dashboard
Location of dashboard
Text size
FVG Price & Volume Graph [LuxAlgo]The FVG Price & Volume Graph tool plot recently detected fair value gaps relative to the volume traded within their area during their formation. This allows us to effectively visualize significant fair value gaps caused by high liquidity.
The indicator also returns levels from the fair value gaps areas average with the highest associated volume.
Do note that the indicator can consider the chart's visible range when being computed, which will recalculate the indicator when the chart's visible range changes.
🔶 USAGE
Fair Value Gaps (FVG) are core price action concepts occurring when the disparity between supply and demand is significant. Price has a tendency to come back to those areas and mitigating them, that is filling them.
The provided tools allow for effective visualization of both FVG's area's height as well as the volume originating from their creation, which is defined by the total traded volume located within the FVG during its creation. FVG's with more associated volume are displayed to the rightmost of the chart.
Users can determine the amount of most recent FVG's to display from the "Display Amount" setting. Disabling the "Consider Mitigation" setting will return mitigated FVGs in the plot, which can be useful to know where most FVGs were located.
We can use the area average of the FVGs with the most associated volume as potential support/resistance levels. Users can extend more FVG's averages by increasing the "Highest Volume Averages" setting.
🔹 Visualizing Volume/Price Relationships of FVG's
A linear regression is fit between FVG's areas average and their associated volume, with this linear regression helping us see where FVG's with specific volume might be located in the future based on existing FVG's.
Note that FVG's do not tend to exhibit linear relationships with their associated volume, the provided linear regression can give a general sense of tendency, but nothing necessarily accurate.
🔶 DETAILS
🔹 Intrabar Data TF
Given a formation of three candles causing an FVG, the volume traded within that FVG area is obtained by looking at the lower timeframe intrabar candles located within the intermediary candle of the formation. The volume of the intrabar candles located within the FVG areas is added up to obtain the associated volume of the FVG.
Using a lower "Intrabar Data TF" allows obtaining more precise volume results, at the cost of computation time and data availability (if there is a high difference between the "Intrabar Data TF" and the chart TF then less FVG can have their associated volume calculated due to Tradingview limitations).
🔹 Display
Users have access to multiple graphical settings affecting how the indicator is displayed.
The "Graph Resolution" setting determines the length of the X axis, with higher values returning more precise results on the location of FVGs over the X axis. Users can also control the number of labels displayed on the X-axis using the numerical input to the right of "Show X-Axis Labels".
Additionally, users can color FVG areas using a gradient relative to the size of the area, or the volume associated with the FVG.
🔶 SETTINGS
Display Amount: Amount of most recent FVGs to display.
Highest Volume Averages: Amount of FVG averages levels with the highest volume to display and extend.
Consider Mitigation: Only display unmitigated FVGs.
Filter FVGs Outside Visible Range: Only display FVGs areas that are located within the user chart visible range.
Intrabar Data TF: Timeframe used to obtain intrabar data. Should be lower than the user chart timeframe.
Multi-Regression StrategyIntroducing the "Multi-Regression Strategy" (MRS) , an advanced technical analysis tool designed to provide flexible and robust market analysis across various financial instruments.
This strategy offers users the ability to select from multiple regression techniques and risk management measures, allowing for customized analysis tailored to specific market conditions and trading styles.
Core Components:
Regression Techniques:
Users can choose one of three regression methods:
1 - Linear Regression: Provides a straightforward trend line, suitable for steady markets.
2 - Ridge Regression: Offers a more stable trend estimation in volatile markets by introducing a regularization parameter (lambda).
3 - LOESS (Locally Estimated Scatterplot Smoothing): Adapts to non-linear trends, useful for complex market behaviors.
Each regression method calculates a trend line that serves as the basis for trading decisions.
Risk Management Measures:
The strategy includes nine different volatility and trend strength measures. Users select one to define the trading bands:
1 - ATR (Average True Range)
2 - Standard Deviation
3 - Bollinger Bands Width
4 - Keltner Channel Width
5 - Chaikin Volatility
6 - Historical Volatility
7 - Ulcer Index
8 - ATRP (ATR Percentage)
9 - KAMA Efficiency Ratio
The chosen measure determines the width of the bands around the regression line, adapting to market volatility.
How It Works:
Regression Calculation:
The selected regression method (Linear, Ridge, or LOESS) calculates the main trend line.
For Ridge Regression, users can adjust the lambda parameter for regularization.
LOESS allows customization of the point span, adaptiveness, and exponent for local weighting.
Risk Band Calculation:
The chosen risk measure is calculated and normalized.
A user-defined risk multiplier is applied to adjust the sensitivity.
Upper and lower bounds are created around the regression line based on this risk measure.
Trading Signals:
Long entries are triggered when the price crosses above the regression line.
Short entries occur when the price crosses below the regression line.
Optional stop-loss and take-profit mechanisms use the calculated risk bands.
Customization and Flexibility:
Users can switch between regression methods to adapt to different market trends (linear, regularized, or non-linear).
The choice of risk measure allows adaptation to various market volatility conditions.
Adjustable parameters (e.g., regression length, risk multiplier) enable fine-tuning of the strategy.
Unique Aspects:
Comprehensive Regression Options:
Unlike many indicators that rely on a single regression method, MRS offers three distinct techniques, each suitable for different market conditions.
Diverse Risk Measures: The strategy incorporates a wide range of volatility and trend strength measures, going beyond traditional indicators to provide a more nuanced view of market dynamics.
Unified Framework:
By combining advanced regression techniques with various risk measures, MRS offers a cohesive approach to trend identification and risk management.
Adaptability:
The strategy can be easily adjusted to suit different trading styles, timeframes, and market conditions through its various input options.
How to Use:
Select a regression method based on your analysis of the current market trend (linear, need for regularization, or non-linear).
Choose a risk measure that aligns with your trading style and the market's current volatility characteristics.
Adjust the length parameter to match your preferred timeframe for analysis.
Fine-tune the risk multiplier to set the desired sensitivity of the trading bands.
Optionally enable stop-loss and take-profit mechanisms using the calculated risk bands.
Monitor the regression line for potential trend changes and the risk bands for entry/exit signals.
By offering this level of customization within a unified framework, the Multi-Regression Strategy provides traders with a powerful tool for market analysis and trading decision support. It combines the robustness of regression analysis with the adaptability of various risk measures, allowing for a more comprehensive and flexible approach to technical trading.
regressionsLibrary "regressions"
This library computes least square regression models for polynomials of any form for a given data set of x and y values.
fit(X, y, reg_type, degrees)
Takes a list of X and y values and the degrees of the polynomial and returns a least square regression for the given polynomial on the dataset.
Parameters:
X (array) : (float ) X inputs for regression fit.
y (array) : (float ) y outputs for regression fit.
reg_type (string) : (string) The type of regression. If passing value for degrees use reg.type_custom
degrees (array) : (int ) The degrees of the polynomial which will be fit to the data. ex: passing array.from(0, 3) would be a polynomial of form c1x^0 + c2x^3 where c2 and c1 will be coefficients of the best fitting polynomial.
Returns: (regression) returns a regression with the best fitting coefficients for the selecected polynomial
regress(reg, x)
Regress one x input.
Parameters:
reg (regression) : (regression) The fitted regression which the y_pred will be calulated with.
x (float) : (float) The input value cooresponding to the y_pred.
Returns: (float) The best fit y value for the given x input and regression.
predict(reg, X)
Predict a new set of X values with a fitted regression. -1 is one bar ahead of the realtime
Parameters:
reg (regression) : (regression) The fitted regression which the y_pred will be calulated with.
X (array)
Returns: (float ) The best fit y values for the given x input and regression.
generate_points(reg, x, y, left_index, right_index)
Takes a regression object and creates chart points which can be used for plotting visuals like lines and labels.
Parameters:
reg (regression) : (regression) Regression which has been fitted to a data set.
x (array) : (float ) x values which coorispond to passed y values
y (array) : (float ) y values which coorispond to passed x values
left_index (int) : (int) The offset of the bar farthest to the realtime bar should be larger than left_index value.
right_index (int) : (int) The offset of the bar closest to the realtime bar should be less than right_index value.
Returns: (chart.point ) Returns an array of chart points
plot_reg(reg, x, y, left_index, right_index, curved, close, line_color, line_width)
Simple plotting function for regression for more custom plotting use generate_points() to create points then create your own plotting function.
Parameters:
reg (regression) : (regression) Regression which has been fitted to a data set.
x (array)
y (array)
left_index (int) : (int) The offset of the bar farthest to the realtime bar should be larger than left_index value.
right_index (int) : (int) The offset of the bar closest to the realtime bar should be less than right_index value.
curved (bool) : (bool) If the polyline is curved or not.
close (bool) : (bool) If true the polyline will be closed.
line_color (color) : (color) The color of the line.
line_width (int) : (int) The width of the line.
Returns: (polyline) The polyline for the regression.
series_to_list(src, left_index, right_index)
Convert a series to a list. Creates a list of all the cooresponding source values
from left_index to right_index. This should be called at the highest scope for consistency.
Parameters:
src (float) : (float ) The source the list will be comprised of.
left_index (int) : (float ) The left most bar (farthest back historical bar) which the cooresponding source value will be taken for.
right_index (int) : (float ) The right most bar closest to the realtime bar which the cooresponding source value will be taken for.
Returns: (float ) An array of size left_index-right_index
range_list(start, stop, step)
Creates an from the start value to the stop value.
Parameters:
start (int) : (float ) The true y values.
stop (int) : (float ) The predicted y values.
step (int) : (int) Positive integer. The spacing between the values. ex: start=1, stop=6, step=2:
Returns: (float ) An array of size stop-start
regression
Fields:
coeffs (array__float)
degrees (array__float)
type_linear (series__string)
type_quadratic (series__string)
type_cubic (series__string)
type_custom (series__string)
_squared_error (series__float)
X (array__float)
Trend AngleThe "Trend Angle" indicator serves as a tool for traders to decipher market trends through a methodical lens. It quantifies the inclination of price movements within a specified timeframe, making it easy to understand current trend dynamics.
Conceptual Foundation:
Angle Measurement: The essence of the "Trend Angle" indicator is its ability to compute the angle between the price trajectory over a defined period and the horizontal axis. This is achieved through the calculation of the arctangent of the percentage price change, offering a straightforward measure of market directionality.
Smoothing Mechanisms: The indicator incorporates options for "Moving Average" and "Linear Regression" as smoothing mechanisms. This adaptability allows for refined trend analysis, catering to diverse market conditions and individual preferences.
Functional Versatility:
Source Adaptability: The indicator affords the flexibility to select the desired price source, enabling users to tailor the angle calculation to their analytical framework and other indicators.
Detrending Capability: With the detrending feature, the indicator allows for the subtraction of the smoothing line from the calculated angle, highlighting deviations from the main trend. This is particularly useful for identifying potential trend reversals or significant market shifts.
Customizable Period: The 'Length' parameter empowers traders to define the observation window for both the trend angle calculation and its smoothing, accommodating various trading horizons.
Visual Intuition: The optional colorization enhances interpretability, with the indicator's color shifting based on its relation to the smoothing line, thereby providing an immediate visual cue regarding the trend's direction.
Interpretative Results:
Market Flatness: An angle proximate to 0 suggests a flat market condition, indicating a lack of significant directional movement. This insight can be pivotal for traders in assessing market stagnation.
Trending Market: Conversely, a relatively high angle denotes a trending market, signifying strong directional momentum. This distinction is crucial for traders aiming to capitalize on trend-driven opportunities.
Analytical Nuance vs. Simplicity:
While the "Trend Angle" indicator is underpinned by mathematical principles, its utility lies in its simplicity and interpretative clarity. However, it is imperative to acknowledge that this tool should be employed as part of a comprehensive trading strategy , complemented by other analytical instruments for a holistic market analysis.
In essence, the "Trend Angle" indicator exemplifies the harmonization of simplicity and analytical rigor. Its design respects the complexity of market behaviors while offering straightforward, actionable insights, making it a valuable component in the arsenal of both seasoned and novice traders alike.
Scalper's Volatility Filter [QuantraSystems]Scalpers Volatility Filter
Introduction
The 𝒮𝒸𝒶𝓁𝓅𝑒𝓇'𝓈 𝒱𝑜𝓁𝒶𝓉𝒾𝓁𝒾𝓉𝓎 𝐹𝒾𝓁𝓉𝑒𝓇 (𝒮𝒱𝐹) is a sophisticated technical indicator, designed to increase the profitability of lower timeframe trading.
Due to the inherent decrease in the signal-to-noise ratio when trading on lower timeframes, it is critical to develop analysis methods to inform traders of the optimal market periods to trade - and more importantly, when you shouldn’t trade.
The 𝒮𝒱𝐹 uses a blend of volatility and momentum measurements, to signal the dominant market condition - trending or ranging.
Legend
The 𝒮𝒱𝐹 consists of a signal line that moves above and below a central zero line, serving as the indication of market regime.
When the signal line is positioned above zero, it indicates a period of elevated volatility. These periods are more profitable for trading, as an asset will experience larger price swings, and by design, trend-following indicators will give less false signals.
Conversely, when the signal line moves below zero, a low volatility or mean-reverting market regime dominates.
This distinction is critical for traders in order to align strategies with the prevailing market behaviors - leveraging trends in volatile markets and exercising caution or implementing mean-reversion systems in periods of lower volatility.
Case Study
Here we can see the indicator's unique edge in action.
Out of the four potential long entries seen on the chart - displayed via bar coloring, two would result in losses.
However, with the power of the 𝒮𝒱𝐹 a trader can effectively filter false signals by only entering momentum-trades when the signal line is above zero.
In this small sample of four trades, the 𝒮𝒱𝐹 increased the win rate from 50% to 100%
Methodology
The methodology behind the 𝒮𝒱𝐹 is based upon three components:
By calculating and contrasting two ATR’s, the immediate market momentum relative to the broader, established trend is calculated. The original method for this can be credited to the user @xinolia
A modified and smoothed ADX indicator is calculated to further assess the strength and sustainability of trends.
The ‘Linear Regression Dispersion’ measures price deviations from a fitted regression line, adding further confluence to the signals representation of market conditions.
Together, these components synthesize a robust, balanced view of market conditions, enabling traders to help align strategies with the prevailing market environment, in order to potentially increase expected value and win rates.
ATR TrendTL;DR - An average true range (ATR) based trend
ATR trend uses a (customizable) ATR calculation and highest high & lowest low prices to calculate the actual trend. Basically it determines the trend direction by using highest high & lowest low and calculates (depending on the determined direction) the ATR trend by using a ATR based calculation and comparison method.
The indicator will draw one trendline by default. It is also possible to draw a second trendline which shows a 'negative trend'. This trendline is calculated the same way the primary trendline is calculated but uses a negative (-1 by default) value for the ATR calculation. This trendline can be used to detect early trend changes and/or micro trends.
How to use:
Due to its ATR nature the ATR trend will show trend changes by changing the trendline direction. This means that when the price crosses the trendline it does not automatically mean a trend change. However using the 'negative trend' option ATR trend can show early trend changes and therefore good entry points.
Some notes:
- A (confirmed) trend change is shown by a changing color and/or moving trendline (up/down)
- Unlike other indicators the 'time period' value is not the primary adjustment setting. This value is only used to calculate highest high & lowest low values and has medium impact on trend calculation. The primary adjustment setting is 'ATR weight'
- Every settings has a tooltip with further explanation
- I added additional color coding which uses a different color when the trend attempts to change but the trend change isn't confirmed (yet)
- Default values work fine (at least in my back testing) but the recommendation is to adjust the settings (especially ATR weight) to your trading style
- You can further finetune this indicator by using custom moving average types for the ATR calculation (like linear regression or Hull moving average)
- Both trendlines can be used to determine future support and resistance zones
- ATR trend can be used as a stop loss finder
- Alerts are using buy/sell signals
- You can use fancy color filling ;)
Happy trading!
Daniel
Linear Regression Channel 200█ OVERVIEW
This a simplified version of linear regression channel which use length 200 instead of traditional length 100.
█ FEATURES
Color change depends light / dark mode.
█ LIMITATIONS
Limited to source of closing price and max bars back is 1500.
█ SIMILAR
Regression Channel Alternative MTF
Regression Channel Alternative MTF V2
Linear RegressionThis indicator can be used to determine the direction of the current trend.
The indicator plots two different histograms based on the linear regression formula:
- The colored ones represent the direction of the short-term trend
- The gray one represents the direction of the long-term trend
In the settings, you can change the length of the short-term value, which also influences the long-term as a basis that will be multiplied
Linear Regression IndicatorThis tool can be used to determine the direction of the current trend.
The indicator changes the color of the candles based on the direction of the linear regression formula. This is made settings the length of the short-term linear regression in the settings, the longer one is also based on that parameter but significantly larger.
The indicator also plots the average between the two linear regression lines used in the candle coloring formula, and can be used both for support and resistance or as a trend line used to analyze breakouts.
Linear Cross Trading StrategyLinear Cross Trading Strategy
The Linear Cross trading strategy is a technical analysis strategy that uses linear regression to predict the future price of a stock. The strategy is based on the following principles:
The price of a stock tends to follow a linear trend over time.
The slope of the linear trend can be used to predict the future price of the stock.
The strategy enters a long position when the predicted price crosses above the current price, and exits the position when the predicted price crosses below the current price.
The Linear Cross trading strategy is implemented in the TradingView Pine script below. The script first calculates the linear regression of the stock price over a specified period of time. The script then plots the predicted price and the current price on the chart. The script also defines two signals:
Long signal: The long signal is triggered when the predicted price crosses above the current price.
Short signal: The short signal is triggered when the predicted price crosses below the current price.
The script enters a long position when the long signal is triggered and exits the position when the short signal is triggered.
Here is a more detailed explanation of the steps involved in the Linear Cross trading strategy:
Calculate the linear regression of the stock price over a specified period of time.
Plot the predicted price and the current price on the chart.
Define two signals: the long signal and the short signal.
Enter a long position when the long signal is triggered.
Exit the long position when the short signal is triggered.
The Linear Cross trading strategy is a simple and effective way to trade stocks. However, it is important to note that no trading strategy is guaranteed to be profitable. It is always important to do your own research and backtest the strategy before using it to trade real money.
Here are some additional things to keep in mind when using the Linear Cross trading strategy:
The length of the linear regression period is a key parameter that affects the performance of the strategy. A longer period will smooth out the noise in the price data, but it will also make the strategy less responsive to changes in the price.
The strategy is more likely to generate profitable trades when the stock price is trending. However, the strategy can also generate profitable trades in ranging markets.
The strategy is not immune to losses. It is important to use risk management techniques to protect your capital when using the strategy.
I hope this blog post helps you understand the Linear Cross trading strategy better. Booost and share with your friend, if you like.
AI Moving Average (Expo)█ Overview
The AI Moving Average indicator is a trading tool that uses an AI-based K-nearest neighbors (KNN) algorithm to analyze and interpret patterns in price data. It combines the logic of a traditional moving average with artificial intelligence, creating an adaptive and robust indicator that can identify strong trends and key market levels.
█ How It Works
The algorithm collects data points and applies a KNN-weighted approach to classify price movement as either bullish or bearish. For each data point, the algorithm checks if the price is above or below the calculated moving average. If the price is above the moving average, it's labeled as bullish (1), and if it's below, it's labeled as bearish (0). The K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) is an instance-based learning algorithm used in classification and regression tasks. It works on a principle of voting, where a new data point is classified based on the majority label of its 'k' nearest neighbors.
The algorithm's use of a KNN-weighted approach adds a layer of intelligence to the traditional moving average analysis. By considering not just the price relative to a moving average but also taking into account the relationships and similarities between different data points, it offers a nuanced and robust classification of price movements.
This combination of data collection, labeling, and KNN-weighted classification turns the AI Moving Average (Expo) Indicator into a dynamic tool that can adapt to changing market conditions, making it suitable for various trading strategies and market environments.
█ How to Use
Dynamic Trend Recognition
The color-coded moving average line helps traders quickly identify market trends. Green represents bullish, red for bearish, and blue for neutrality.
Trend Strength
By adjusting certain settings within the AI Moving Average (Expo) Indicator, such as using a higher 'k' value and increasing the number of data points, traders can gain real-time insights into strong trends. A higher 'k' value makes the prediction model more resilient to noise, emphasizing pronounced trends, while more data points provide a comprehensive view of the market direction. Together, these adjustments enable the indicator to display only robust trends on the chart, allowing traders to focus exclusively on significant market movements and strong trends.
Key SR Levels
Traders can utilize the indicator to identify key support and resistance levels that are derived from the prevailing trend movement. The derived support and resistance levels are not just based on historical data but are dynamically adjusted with the current trend, making them highly responsive to market changes.
█ Settings
k (Neighbors): Number of neighbors in the KNN algorithm. Increasing 'k' makes predictions more resilient to noise but may decrease sensitivity to local variations.
n (DataPoints): Number of data points considered in AI analysis. This affects how the AI interprets patterns in the price data.
maType (Select MA): Type of moving average applied. Options allow for different smoothing techniques to emphasize or dampen aspects of price movement.
length: Length of the moving average. A greater length creates a smoother curve but might lag recent price changes.
dataToClassify: Source data for classifying price as bullish or bearish. It can be adjusted to consider different aspects of price information
dataForMovingAverage: Source data for calculating the moving average. Different selections may emphasize different aspects of price movement.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
MultiMovesCombines 3 different moving averages together with the linear regression. The moving averages are the HMA, EMA, and SMA. The script makes use of two different lengths to allow the end user to utilize common crossovers in order to determine entry into a trade. The edge of each "cloud" is where each of the moving averages actually are. The bar color is the average of the shorter length combined moving averages.
-The Hull Moving Average (HMA), developed by Alan Hull, is an extremely fast and smooth moving average. In fact, the HMA almost eliminates lag altogether and manages to improve smoothing at the same time. A longer period HMA may be used to identify trend.
-The exponential moving average (EMA) is a technical chart indicator that tracks the price of an investment (like a stock or commodity) over time. The EMA is a type of weighted moving average (WMA) that gives more weighting or importance to recent price data.
-A simple moving average (SMA) is an arithmetic moving average calculated by adding recent prices and then dividing that figure by the number of time periods in the calculation average.
-The Linear Regression Indicator plots the ending value of a Linear Regression Line for a specified number of bars; showing, statistically, where the price is expected to be. Instead of plotting an average of past price action, it is plotting where a Linear Regression Line would expect the price to be, making the Linear Regression Indicator more responsive than a moving average.
The lighter colors = default 50 MA
The darker colors = default 200 MA
Deming Linear Regression [wbburgin]Deming regression is a type of linear regression used to model the relationship between two variables when there is variability in both variables. Deming regression provides a solution by simultaneously accounting for the variability in both the independent and dependent variables, resulting in a more accurate estimation of the underlying relationship. In the hard-science fields, where measurements are critically important to judging the conclusions drawn from data, Deming regression can be used to account for measurement error.
Tradingview's default linear regression indicator (the ta.linreg() function) uses least squares linear regression, which is similar but different than Deming regression. In least squares regression, the regression function minimizes the sum of the squared vertical distances between the data points and the fitted line. This method assumes that the errors or variability are only present in the y-values (dependent variable), and that the x-values (independent variable) are measured without error.
In time series data used in trading, Deming regression can be more accurate than least squares regression because the ratio of the variances of the x and y variables is large. X is the bar index, which is an incrementally-increasing function that has little variance, while Y is the price data, which has extremely high variance when compared to the bar index. In such situations, least squares regression can be heavily influenced by outliers or extreme points in the data, whereas Deming regression is more resistant to such influence.
Additionally, if your x-axis uses variable widths - such as renko blocks or other types of non-linear widths - Deming regression might be more effective than least-squares linear regression because it accounts for the variability in your x-values as well. Additionally, if you are creating a machine-learning model that uses linear regression to filter or extrapolate data, this regression method may be more accurate than least squares.
In contrast to least squares regression, Deming regression takes into account the variability or errors in both the x- and y-values. It minimizes the sum of the squared perpendicular distances between the data points and the fitted line, accounting for both the x- and y-variability. This makes Deming regression more robust in both variables than least squares regression.
Chandelier Exit ZLSMA StrategyIntroducing a Powerful Trading Indicator: Chandelier Exit with ZLSMA
If you're a trader, you know the importance of having the right tools and indicators to make informed decisions. That's why we're excited to introduce a powerful new trading indicator that combines the Chandelier Exit and ZLSMA: two widely-used and effective indicators for technical analysis.
The Chandelier Exit (CE) is a popular trailing stop-loss indicator developed by Chuck LeBeau. It's designed to follow the price trend of a security and provide an exit signal when the price crosses below the CE line. The CE line is based on the Average True Range (ATR), which is a measure of volatility. This means that the CE line adjusts to the volatility of the security, making it a reliable indicator for trailing stop-losses.
The ZLEMA (Zero Lag Exponential Moving Average) is a type of exponential moving average that's designed to reduce lag and improve signal accuracy. The ZLSMA takes into account not only the current price but also past prices, using a weighted formula to calculate the moving average. This makes it a smoother indicator than traditional moving averages, and less prone to giving false signals.
When combined, the CE and ZLSMA create a powerful indicator that can help traders identify trend changes and make more informed trading decisions. The CE provides the trailing stop-loss signal, while the ZLSMA provides a smoother trend line to help identify potential entry and exit points.
In our indicator, the CE and ZLSMA are plotted together on the chart, making it easy to see both the trailing stop-loss and the trend line at the same time. The CE line is displayed as a dotted line, while the ZLSMA line is displayed as a solid line.
Using this indicator, traders can set their stop-loss levels based on the CE line, while also using the ZLSMA line to identify potential entry and exit points. The combination of these two indicators can help traders reduce their risk and improve their trading performance.
In conclusion, the Chandelier Exit with ZLSMA is a powerful trading indicator that combines two effective technical analysis tools. By using this indicator, traders can identify trend changes, set stop-loss levels, and make more informed trading decisions. Try it out for yourself and see how it can improve your trading performance.
Warning: The results in the backtest are from a repainting strategy. Don't take them seriously. You need to do a dry live test in order to test it for its useability.
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Here is a description of each input field in the provided source code:
length: An integer input used as the period for the ATR (Average True Range) calculation. Default value is 1.
mult: A float input used as a multiplier for the ATR value. Default value is 2.
showLabels: A boolean input that determines whether to display buy/sell labels on the chart. Default value is false.
isSignalLabelEnabled: A boolean input that determines whether to display signal labels on the chart. Default value is true.
useClose: A boolean input that determines whether to use the close price for extrema calculations. Default value is true.
zcolorchange: A boolean input that determines whether to enable rising/decreasing highlighting for the ZLSMA (Zero-Lag Exponential Moving Average) line. Default value is false.
zlsmaLength: An integer input used as the length for the ZLSMA calculation. Default value is 50.
offset: An integer input used as an offset for the ZLSMA calculation. Default value is 0.
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Ty for checking this out and good luck on your trading journey! Likes and comments are appreciated. 👍
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Credits to:
▪ @everget – Chandelier Exit (CE)
▪ @netweaver2022 – ZLSMA
Autoregressive Covariance Oscillator by TenozenWell to be honest I don't know what to name this indicator lol. But anyway, here is my another original work! Gonna give some background of why I create this indicator, it's all pretty much a coincidence when I'm learning about time series analysis.
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Well, the formula of Auto-covariance is:
E{(X(t)-(t) * (X(t-s)-(t-s))}= Y_s
But I don't multiply both values but rather subtract them:
E{(X(t)-(t) - (X(t-s)-(t-s))}= Y_s?
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For arm_vald, the equation is as follows:
arm_vald = val_mu + mu_plus_lsm + et
val_mu --> mean of time series
mu_plus_lsm --> val_mu + LSM
et --> error term
As you can see, val_mu^2. I did this so the oscillator is much smoother.
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After I get the value, I normalize them:
aco = Y_s? / arm_vald
So by this calculation, I get something like an oscillator!
(more details in the code)
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So how to use this indicator? It's so easy! If the value is above 0, we gonna expect a bullish response, if the value is below 0, we gonna expect a bearish response; that simple. Be aware that you should wait for the price to be closed before executing a trade.
Well, try it out! So far this is the most powerful indicator that I've created, hope it's useful. Ciao.
(more updates for the indicator if needed)
Linear Regression Volume ProfileLinear Regression Volume Profile plots the volume profile fixated on the linear regression of the lookback period rather than statically across y = 0. This helps identify potential support and resistance inside of the price channel.
Settings
Linear Regression
Linear Regression Source: the price source in which to sample when calculating the linear regression
Length: the number of bars to sample when calculating the linear regression
Deviation: the number of standard deviations away from the linear regression line to draw the upper and lower bounds
Linear Regression
Rows: the number of rows to divide the linear regression channel into when calculating the volume profile
Show Point of Control: toggle whether or not to plot the level with highest amount of volume
Usage
Similar to the traditional Linear Regression and Volume Profile this indicator is mainly to determine levels of support and resistance. One may interpret a level with high volume (i.e. point of control) to be a potential reversal point.
Details
This indicator first calculates the linear regression of the specified lookback period and, subsequently, the upper and lower bound of the linear regression channel. It then divides this channel by the specified number of rows and sums the volume that occurs in each row. The volume profile is scaled to the min and max volume.
Linear Regress on Price And VolumeLinear regression is a statistical method used to model the relationship between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables. It assumes a linear relationship between the dependent variable and the independent variable(s) and attempts to fit a straight line that best describes the relationship.
In the context of predicting the price of a stock based on the volume, we can use linear regression to build a model that relates the price of the stock (dependent variable) to the volume (independent variable). The idea is to use lookback period to predict future prices based on the volume.
To build this indicator, we start by collecting data on the price of the stock and the volume over a selected of time or by default 21 days. We then plot the data on a scatter plot with the volume on the x-axis and the price on the y-axis. If there is a clear pattern in the data, we can fit a straight line to the data using a method called least squares regression. The line represents the best linear approximation of the relationship between the price and the volume.
Once we have the line, we can use it to make predictions. For example, if we observe a certain volume, we can use the line to estimate the corresponding price.
It's worth noting that linear regression assumes a linear relationship between the variables. In reality, the relationship between the price and the volume may be more complex, and other factors may also influence the price of the stock. Therefore, while linear regression can be a useful tool, it should be used in conjunction with other methods and should be interpreted with caution.
Premium Linear Regression - The Quant ScienceThis script calculates the average deviation of the source data from the linear regression. When used with the indicator, it can plot the data line and display various pieces of information, including the maximum average dispersion around the linear regression.
The code includes various user configurations, allowing for the specification of the start and end dates of the period for which to calculate linear regression, the length of the period to use for the calculation, and the data source to use.
The indicator is designed for multi-timeframe use and to facilitate analysis for traders who use regression models in their analysis. It displays a green linear regression line when the price is above the line and a red line when the price is below. The indicator also highlights areas of dispersion around the regression using circles, with bullish areas shown in green and bearish areas shown in red.