The Big picture of Oil ,short therm 73-75 and then bullish

On the big picture of Oil chart it should come down to 73 usd (200ma monthly chart) ,the lowest point ,but I think it will bounce up from 74-75 (200 ma weekly chart) and then all the way to 100 usd by September ,with the first rate cut it will go to at least 115 usd...this is just my scenario , no investment advice..I am playing my own money ...DYOR