Well, human behavior repeats and so does price cycle? 2014 saw a 3.5 months of consolidation before a substantial move, is the pattern going to repeat? If so we could have a new catch phrase in stock market, "Consolidation in May" to replace sell in May
Lets check on how the 9 sectors are performing for the time being (bullish case)
1. XLI (W bottom)
2. XLB (a CUP)
3. XLK (Wedging)
4. XLU (channel support)
5. XLE (bull flag to fill gap)
6. XLF (no way to run, decision time)
7. XLP (looks toppy)
8. XLY (bull flag)
9. XLV (in triangle)
Extra: XLY/XLP (break 1.59 = Risk on)
P.S. in case all sectors break down, this would mean correction for SPX after the consolidation (that's for bearish case)
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jangseohee
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moorekapital
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CosmicDust
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Agree that it does not have a trend just yet... but I think risk/reward ratio is unfavorable at the moment until after a new all time high.
jangseohee
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i still think QE4 is coming instead of rate hike
jangseohee
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IvanLabrie
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If it stops there, yes, agreed. It has a strong support level below, but if we break the low it might be a large decline, a flash crash.