We may see it come down to bottom of the inside of triangle before moving up
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I've redrawn the triangle with slightly different extents, as the "breakout" I think redrew the triangle. OXT seems to be trying to break out of the top of the triangle still, but may now go to bottom.
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Kissed off the bottom of the triangle lets see what happens...
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You can see it tried half a dozen times at the top of the triangle; it has not been doing this for days, just one time up and then down hard.