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Flash430
22 กรกฎา 2018 เวลา 11 นาฬิกา 16 นาที

IT10y-US10y yield spread looking to another leg higher เพิ่มขึ้น

IT10Y-US10YTVC

คำอธิบาย

Very pretty triangle forming in potential B wave suggests attempts for another leg higher in coming weeks to break up to +50bps+
Need confirmation first (staying above tri support) then breakout.

การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่

On the move. Should be dynamic. IT yields headed a lot higher and will drag spread along for the ride. Risk off environment.

การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่

Stick with the plan. Recommended trade at negative 35bps, now spread flat(ish) and still looks to be headed a lot higher (plus 30-50bps) as we could be entering risk off mode and flight to UST (quite apart from impact on EZ bonds from Turkey fallout).

การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่

Spread now +30bps (having widened from -35bps when recommended initially). Still think there is more room on upside to +50bps or higher in risk off environment.

การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่

Spread now +35bps and still has a lot more upside imo (maybe another 100bps to 135bps!!
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