When Both Climb — Gold and Equities in a Shifting World
When I was younger, my economics professor taught me something simple:
“Gold tends to go up when the stock market goes down.”
Back then, that seemed almost like a law of nature. Stocks fall, gold rises. One hedges the other.
But as the years passed, I started to see something different. Both gold and the stock market began to climb at the same time. I’m not saying my professor was wrong. I’m saying the world has changed.
We now live in an information-driven era, where news travels faster than it takes me to step out of my car. Markets no longer react to events in a slow, linear way. Reactions are instant, global, and often emotional. And that emotion... comes from all of us trying to process data we don’t fully understand.
🧠 Smart Money Behavior
When the S&P 500 reaches levels that feel “too high, too fast,” smart money starts quietly buying gold. Not because they expect stocks to crash tomorrowm, but as a hedge against a bubble they can see forming before the crowd does.
When the bubble finally bursts, gold is expected to run. Historically, gold has been the safe haven for people who lived through instability. In many countries, when their economy collapsed, gold was the one thing that preserved value when everything else crumbled.
⚠️ The Real Question
Right now, gold has broken through almost every resistance level on the chart. Nobody truly knows how high it can go. But here’s the uncomfortable truth:
“When the time comes to sell, who will be left to buy?”
Without buyers, even the most loved assets can lose value fast. When both your favorite assets; stocks and gold start dropping together, that’s when conviction is tested.
🧭 The Exit Plan
The chart shows momentum, yes. But momentum is not certainty, and eventually the fuel runs out.
If you’re long, it’s smart to enjoy the ride but also know your exit before the crowd starts looking for theirs. Because the worst time to make a plan… is when the house is already on fire.
My plan is to wait for a pull back that bounce off of a previous resistance, and see if this rocket ship take me to the penthouse at the 1.618 Fib, as it's looking like we are in some sort of wave 3 with tones of momentum.
I was in a position earlier right before the New York session closed, I had a long day and decided to exit before my price target. But like all "self proclaimed" traders, as soon as you sell, you walk away from it, when you come back after 10 mins. I guess i didn't have the balls to follow my plan.
My plan now is simple: wait for a pullback to a previous resistance level and see if it holds as support. If it does, and momentum stays strong, I’ll ride this rocket ship toward the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, which lines up perfectly with what looks like a powerful Wave 3 structure.
Earlier today, right before the New York session closed, I was already in a position. I’d had a long day, so I closed out early before hitting my price target. And like every “self-proclaimed trader,” the moment I walked away, price took off exactly how I imagined.
When I came back 10 minutes later... well, let’s just say I didn’t have the guts to fully trust my plan.
As always trade with a stop loss, the key is to live to trade another day.
“Gold tends to go up when the stock market goes down.”
Back then, that seemed almost like a law of nature. Stocks fall, gold rises. One hedges the other.
But as the years passed, I started to see something different. Both gold and the stock market began to climb at the same time. I’m not saying my professor was wrong. I’m saying the world has changed.
We now live in an information-driven era, where news travels faster than it takes me to step out of my car. Markets no longer react to events in a slow, linear way. Reactions are instant, global, and often emotional. And that emotion... comes from all of us trying to process data we don’t fully understand.
🧠 Smart Money Behavior
When the S&P 500 reaches levels that feel “too high, too fast,” smart money starts quietly buying gold. Not because they expect stocks to crash tomorrowm, but as a hedge against a bubble they can see forming before the crowd does.
When the bubble finally bursts, gold is expected to run. Historically, gold has been the safe haven for people who lived through instability. In many countries, when their economy collapsed, gold was the one thing that preserved value when everything else crumbled.
⚠️ The Real Question
Right now, gold has broken through almost every resistance level on the chart. Nobody truly knows how high it can go. But here’s the uncomfortable truth:
“When the time comes to sell, who will be left to buy?”
Without buyers, even the most loved assets can lose value fast. When both your favorite assets; stocks and gold start dropping together, that’s when conviction is tested.
🧭 The Exit Plan
The chart shows momentum, yes. But momentum is not certainty, and eventually the fuel runs out.
If you’re long, it’s smart to enjoy the ride but also know your exit before the crowd starts looking for theirs. Because the worst time to make a plan… is when the house is already on fire.
My plan is to wait for a pull back that bounce off of a previous resistance, and see if this rocket ship take me to the penthouse at the 1.618 Fib, as it's looking like we are in some sort of wave 3 with tones of momentum.
I was in a position earlier right before the New York session closed, I had a long day and decided to exit before my price target. But like all "self proclaimed" traders, as soon as you sell, you walk away from it, when you come back after 10 mins. I guess i didn't have the balls to follow my plan.
My plan now is simple: wait for a pullback to a previous resistance level and see if it holds as support. If it does, and momentum stays strong, I’ll ride this rocket ship toward the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, which lines up perfectly with what looks like a powerful Wave 3 structure.
Earlier today, right before the New York session closed, I was already in a position. I’d had a long day, so I closed out early before hitting my price target. And like every “self-proclaimed trader,” the moment I walked away, price took off exactly how I imagined.
When I came back 10 minutes later... well, let’s just say I didn’t have the guts to fully trust my plan.
As always trade with a stop loss, the key is to live to trade another day.
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คำจำกัดสิทธิ์ความรับผิดชอบ
ข้อมูลและบทความไม่ได้มีวัตถุประสงค์เพื่อก่อให้เกิดกิจกรรมทางการเงิน, การลงทุน, การซื้อขาย, ข้อเสนอแนะ หรือคำแนะนำประเภทอื่น ๆ ที่ให้หรือรับรองโดย TradingView อ่านเพิ่มเติมที่ ข้อกำหนดการใช้งาน