whilst waiting for the planned long entry published in the last chart (link below), there appears to be possible short trade available as price has bounce in corrective manner hence another leg lower from current price level is possible.
Hence, decent short trade could be considered as per the details on the chart.
Trade 1 is if we get spike higher above 1.14 Trade 2. is if we get weakness in price right way from current level.
I am anticipating that EURUSD could end the week lower. Warning: This is my interpretation of price action using TA approach that I consider helps me most but could be completely wrong. Therefore as always, do your own analysis for your trade requirement and ignore my views.
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UPDATE: New chart publish with another potential short trade in the making
DanV
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UPDATE: the earlier trade stopped out as scratched trade. But one that developed after FOMC event entered at 1.1420 just managed to survive by a whisker and is now locked with profit at 1.1371. The downside target still in focus. Here is the updated chart
mkdeep04
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hi Danv..this abc tgt 1900+ is w4 ? of longer trend down ?
mkdeep04
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also i see +divg in 1h n 4h ..
mkdeep04
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mkdeep04
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mkdeep04
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sorry for double posting.. pls delet it
this is what ment to post
DanV
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No worries. You could be right. Although I have seen this H&S pattern used frequently in the way you have indicted, I understand that it is a reversal pattern hence it needs a prior trend to reverse. In this instance H&S actually makes up the entire price action. So what is it reversing? I would be reluctant to call this H&S pattern even though it might work out.
We will see how this resolves. Thanks for your question and sharing your chart.
DanV
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I am not sure if it is wave 4 in the manner most have been suggesting.
So we could have 2 possibilities.
1. We are in new uptrend and which could lead to much higher price in due course. This could progress as Larger WXY or ABC to the upside, ie double zigzag. My preferred count. If this develops then it could fit my assumed counts of DXY as published back in March. See charts below
2. If we are still in downtrend longer term as many are suggesting then the March low is possibly wave A and the retrace with recent high as Wave B and we could be in another impulsive decline wave C that could lead to parity or lower. However there are 2 issues with this as I see it. (a) if this is wave C of ABC to downside with Wave A low in March, then how does this fit into the larger cycle counts? (b) It does not look to be a 5 wave decline from August 24th, high. So how can this be impulsive wave C decline or even indeed wave 5 decline.
But I understand that I might have missed something and could be wrong about my assumptions. Hope this helps.